1 00:00:09,589 --> 00:00:06,590 okay today's speaker is Dave crisp and 2 00:00:17,720 --> 00:00:09,599 by way of introduction I have only three 3 00:00:25,460 --> 00:00:17,730 acronyms to throw at you JD l OC o PP L 4 00:00:27,529 --> 00:00:25,470 I need say no more he's from the Jet 5 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:27,539 Propulsion Laboratory his principal 6 00:00:31,749 --> 00:00:30,090 investigator on the NASA mission was 7 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:31,759 going to be talking to us about today 8 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:35,010 orbiting carbon Observatory and his 9 00:00:39,350 --> 00:00:36,930 connection with us here at University of 10 00:00:42,830 --> 00:00:39,360 Washington he's one of the core members 11 00:00:46,459 --> 00:00:42,840 of the virtual planetary laboratory in a 12 00:00:47,900 --> 00:00:46,469 I know that's run by new colleague Vicki 13 00:00:50,510 --> 00:00:47,910 meadows 14 00:00:53,900 --> 00:00:50,520 he's an atmospheric physicist by 15 00:00:57,170 --> 00:00:53,910 training and he used to be a long time 16 00:00:59,869 --> 00:00:57,180 ago a high school teacher so if any of 17 00:01:03,979 --> 00:00:59,879 you show any scientific misbehavior or 18 00:01:06,380 --> 00:01:03,989 going to sleep you know talk okay so 19 00:01:09,170 --> 00:01:06,390 today Dave will be talking about his 20 00:01:09,950 --> 00:01:09,180 upcoming orbiting carbon Observatory 21 00:01:11,870 --> 00:01:09,960 anything 22 00:01:13,789 --> 00:01:11,880 I mean its parents tell you that most of 23 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:13,799 you weren't born when I was a high 24 00:01:18,260 --> 00:01:17,250 school teacher so in any case well go 25 00:01:21,170 --> 00:01:18,270 ahead and go through this I'm going to 26 00:01:22,940 --> 00:01:21,180 be talking a little bit about me talking 27 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:22,950 primarily about the nasa orbiting carbon 28 00:01:30,410 --> 00:01:25,650 Observatory this is a very very small 29 00:01:32,060 --> 00:01:30,420 NASA mission by NASA standards the put 30 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:32,070 it in perspective the orbiting carbon 31 00:01:35,090 --> 00:01:34,650 Observatory is just a little taller than 32 00:01:37,999 --> 00:01:35,100 I am 33 00:01:40,069 --> 00:01:38,009 it's about two meters tall it's about 34 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:40,079 nine point nine four meters across the 35 00:01:43,730 --> 00:01:41,850 top of the other satellite and they're 36 00:01:45,740 --> 00:01:43,740 shown in the picture here point nine 37 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:45,750 four meters this is quite small it's 38 00:01:50,300 --> 00:01:48,210 actually the size of two 55-gallon oil 39 00:01:52,370 --> 00:01:50,310 drum drums piled on top of each other 40 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:52,380 that will become more relevant as we go 41 00:01:57,679 --> 00:01:55,770 through some of this in addition though 42 00:01:59,450 --> 00:01:57,689 we'll talk a little bit about this 43 00:02:01,280 --> 00:01:59,460 tetanus class of mission now this is a 44 00:02:02,990 --> 00:02:01,290 principal investigator led mission it's 45 00:02:05,870 --> 00:02:03,000 a particular class of mission that nASA 46 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:05,880 has NASA runs both directed missions 47 00:02:10,369 --> 00:02:08,610 like our Mars programs where we say we 48 00:02:11,070 --> 00:02:10,379 basically NASA directs the Jet 49 00:02:12,960 --> 00:02:11,080 Propulsion lab 50 00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:12,970 taury or other laboratories to build 51 00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:14,890 specific classes of spacecraft to go to 52 00:02:18,990 --> 00:02:16,770 specific places and make measurements 53 00:02:20,550 --> 00:02:19,000 another class of mission that we have 54 00:02:22,380 --> 00:02:20,560 are these principal investigator 55 00:02:25,530 --> 00:02:22,390 missions you're familiar probably with 56 00:02:27,540 --> 00:02:25,540 Don Brownlee's mission Stardust which is 57 00:02:29,970 --> 00:02:27,550 one of the first of a program called 58 00:02:32,550 --> 00:02:29,980 discovery which is a one of our 59 00:02:34,650 --> 00:02:32,560 planetary science programs the Earth 60 00:02:36,330 --> 00:02:34,660 System science Pathfinder program is the 61 00:02:39,870 --> 00:02:36,340 equivalent of discovery for the Earth 62 00:02:43,110 --> 00:02:39,880 Sciences I propose to these programs 63 00:02:46,350 --> 00:02:43,120 many many times 16 Venus missions I 64 00:02:49,770 --> 00:02:46,360 think I proposed over time but once 65 00:02:52,550 --> 00:02:49,780 again I also a few Mars missions I 66 00:02:55,620 --> 00:02:52,560 should say and a few other arbitrary 67 00:02:56,910 --> 00:02:55,630 Astrophysical Astrophysical missions the 68 00:02:58,460 --> 00:02:56,920 orbiting carbon Observatory though I 69 00:03:02,280 --> 00:02:58,470 proposed as the principal investigator 70 00:03:05,699 --> 00:03:02,290 back in about this time of year 71 00:03:08,580 --> 00:03:05,709 in 2000 these are supposed to be fast 72 00:03:12,180 --> 00:03:08,590 missions get them you know get them up 73 00:03:14,850 --> 00:03:12,190 quickly get them up cheaply and learn 74 00:03:17,070 --> 00:03:14,860 new ways of making measurements or make 75 00:03:18,330 --> 00:03:17,080 measurements we've never made before in 76 00:03:21,930 --> 00:03:18,340 the earth system it's the primary 77 00:03:24,920 --> 00:03:21,940 objective it turns out that NASA 78 00:03:28,160 --> 00:03:24,930 selected us and then found out they 79 00:03:30,540 --> 00:03:28,170 didn't have anything in their checkbook 80 00:03:33,420 --> 00:03:30,550 they told us to wait a year and a half 81 00:03:35,729 --> 00:03:33,430 or two years and come back and they 82 00:03:37,860 --> 00:03:35,739 funded us finally but at a very low rate 83 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:37,870 and it's been a long time kind of 84 00:03:44,220 --> 00:03:40,450 getting up to speed I look back at those 85 00:03:46,949 --> 00:03:44,230 years now kind of wishing that wishing 86 00:03:47,250 --> 00:03:46,959 for them things are moving so fast right 87 00:03:49,590 --> 00:03:47,260 now 88 00:03:51,780 --> 00:03:49,600 that it's almost unbelievable so you'll 89 00:03:53,250 --> 00:03:51,790 hear a little bit of that as well so 90 00:03:56,310 --> 00:03:53,260 let's talk a little bit about this 91 00:03:57,660 --> 00:03:56,320 particular mission now the a hallmark 92 00:03:59,490 --> 00:03:57,670 are the principal investigator missions 93 00:04:01,259 --> 00:03:59,500 basically an individual a principal 94 00:04:04,410 --> 00:04:01,269 investigator will put together a team 95 00:04:07,350 --> 00:04:04,420 and propose a mission that basically 96 00:04:09,210 --> 00:04:07,360 addresses a general thrust at NASA and 97 00:04:12,539 --> 00:04:09,220 those could be things like the carbon 98 00:04:15,930 --> 00:04:12,549 cycle the hydrologic cycle something 99 00:04:17,759 --> 00:04:15,940 like that very broad thrust solid earth 100 00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:17,769 that's about the guidance you get the 101 00:04:23,290 --> 00:04:21,130 other guidance you get is a cost they 102 00:04:26,500 --> 00:04:23,300 fixed not to exceed 103 00:04:28,840 --> 00:04:26,510 and so a lot of the things that we do to 104 00:04:30,700 --> 00:04:28,850 put these missions up we cut a lot of 105 00:04:34,060 --> 00:04:30,710 corners on cost and we need to get them 106 00:04:36,100 --> 00:04:34,070 up as low as lower cost as possible we 107 00:04:38,590 --> 00:04:36,110 also try to take we try also try to be 108 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:38,600 fairly conservative with the hardware as 109 00:04:43,870 --> 00:04:41,570 you'll see even though the science that 110 00:04:45,880 --> 00:04:43,880 we're trying to do is cutting edge on 111 00:04:47,770 --> 00:04:45,890 measurement maybe has never been made 112 00:04:50,290 --> 00:04:47,780 before the actual method that we 113 00:04:53,320 --> 00:04:50,300 implement on the spacecraft to make it 114 00:04:53,830 --> 00:04:53,330 make it possible sometimes looks kind of 115 00:04:56,740 --> 00:04:53,840 low-tech 116 00:04:58,030 --> 00:04:56,750 you'll see some of that as well but in 117 00:04:59,860 --> 00:04:58,040 any case what we'll do is we'll go 118 00:05:02,530 --> 00:04:59,870 through this you'll get hopefully a 119 00:05:04,990 --> 00:05:02,540 flavor for how these P I led missions 120 00:05:08,140 --> 00:05:05,000 work as well as what the objectives of 121 00:05:10,180 --> 00:05:08,150 the Osio mission is and also the 122 00:05:12,820 --> 00:05:10,190 approach that we've taken now first of 123 00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:12,830 all o co you hear me now seing it that 124 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:16,010 way you know what this mission is all 125 00:05:20,530 --> 00:05:17,690 about it's about making measurements of 126 00:05:23,950 --> 00:05:20,540 carbon dioxide from space you might see 127 00:05:29,080 --> 00:05:23,960 some relationship between that this is a 128 00:05:31,900 --> 00:05:29,090 carbon dioxide molecule these missions I 129 00:05:34,380 --> 00:05:31,910 should point out are competing and you 130 00:05:36,370 --> 00:05:34,390 do everything to win these competitions 131 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:36,380 everything you possibly can 132 00:05:39,670 --> 00:05:37,610 some once again the orbiting carbon 133 00:05:41,320 --> 00:05:39,680 Observatory is a mission that's designed 134 00:05:44,620 --> 00:05:41,330 to measure carbon dioxide in the Earth's 135 00:05:47,020 --> 00:05:44,630 atmosphere now what are we trying to 136 00:05:50,220 --> 00:05:47,030 measure what's the big idea where I co2 137 00:05:53,080 --> 00:05:50,230 well we all know that carbon dioxide is 138 00:05:54,640 --> 00:05:53,090 the main atmospheric component of the 139 00:05:56,470 --> 00:05:54,650 global carbon cycle if you look at 140 00:06:00,750 --> 00:05:56,480 carbon bearing compounds in the 141 00:06:03,730 --> 00:06:00,760 atmosphere carbon dioxide is basically 142 00:06:05,980 --> 00:06:03,740 the the major constituent carbon bearing 143 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:05,990 species in the atmosphere the mixing 144 00:06:10,090 --> 00:06:07,370 ratio of carbon dioxide in our 145 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:10,100 atmosphere today is about 380 parts per 146 00:06:13,270 --> 00:06:11,810 million that's what's shown on this axis 147 00:06:14,260 --> 00:06:13,280 of this graph I'll get to that in a 148 00:06:16,510 --> 00:06:14,270 moment 149 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:16,520 the next largest carbon bearing species 150 00:06:22,180 --> 00:06:18,530 in the atmosphere is methane at about 151 00:06:25,270 --> 00:06:22,190 1.7 parts per million so 380 versus 1.7 152 00:06:27,250 --> 00:06:25,280 big ratio there so basically carbon 153 00:06:30,130 --> 00:06:27,260 dioxide is the dominant carbon bearing 154 00:06:32,140 --> 00:06:30,140 species atmosphere you also know that 155 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:32,150 that you know what is this global carbon 156 00:06:42,540 --> 00:06:32,690 cycle 157 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:42,550 in this particular case is driven mostly 158 00:06:47,160 --> 00:06:44,650 by biological processes on the earth 159 00:06:49,710 --> 00:06:47,170 this is basically the earth breathing 160 00:06:51,360 --> 00:06:49,720 and that's all it's traded in the in the 161 00:06:53,490 --> 00:06:51,370 figure that's shown here these are 162 00:06:56,070 --> 00:06:53,500 measurements that are made from pole to 163 00:06:58,110 --> 00:06:56,080 pole this is the North Pole here this is 164 00:06:59,820 --> 00:06:58,120 the South Pole here I basically put a 165 00:07:04,020 --> 00:06:59,830 map down here but this is actually time 166 00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:04,030 along this axis from 1990 to 2006 this 167 00:07:08,400 --> 00:07:06,730 axis here shows the carbon dioxide 168 00:07:11,190 --> 00:07:08,410 concentration in the atmosphere and 169 00:07:13,290 --> 00:07:11,200 that's also color-coded here so that the 170 00:07:15,960 --> 00:07:13,300 Blues are around 350 parts per million 171 00:07:19,530 --> 00:07:15,970 by volume the greens are around 360 172 00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:19,540 parts per million 350 at 360 and then it 173 00:07:24,060 --> 00:07:22,090 goes red from 370 to 380 see how all 174 00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:24,070 that works now there's a very 175 00:07:27,659 --> 00:07:25,450 interesting thing you can see in the 176 00:07:29,670 --> 00:07:27,669 structure of the measurements that are 177 00:07:31,380 --> 00:07:29,680 shown here over time the reason I put 178 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:31,390 this map down at the bottom is that we 179 00:07:35,430 --> 00:07:33,130 may have made each of the red dots on 180 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:35,440 that map of the globe as a station where 181 00:07:38,520 --> 00:07:36,730 we make a measurement of carbon dioxide 182 00:07:40,770 --> 00:07:38,530 in the Earth's atmosphere either 183 00:07:42,900 --> 00:07:40,780 continuously using a non-dispersive 184 00:07:44,640 --> 00:07:42,910 infrared technique or through something 185 00:07:46,110 --> 00:07:44,650 called flask measurements and the flask 186 00:07:49,680 --> 00:07:46,120 measurements are just about what they 187 00:07:51,300 --> 00:07:49,690 sound like every week somebody takes a 188 00:07:54,450 --> 00:07:51,310 bottle it's not much bigger than this 189 00:07:57,030 --> 00:07:54,460 it's actually made of Pyrex at this 190 00:07:59,250 --> 00:07:57,040 point they open the bottle fill it full 191 00:08:02,219 --> 00:07:59,260 of air it's an evacuated bottle it 192 00:08:03,510 --> 00:08:02,229 doesn't quite open that easily and they 193 00:08:06,540 --> 00:08:03,520 fill up for a polar bear and then they 194 00:08:08,700 --> 00:08:06,550 send it back to Boulder Colorado to the 195 00:08:10,920 --> 00:08:08,710 esra laboratory where it's analyzed for 196 00:08:13,380 --> 00:08:10,930 co2 and a whole host of other other 197 00:08:14,969 --> 00:08:13,390 constituents of the atmosphere and from 198 00:08:16,500 --> 00:08:14,979 that information we've been able to 199 00:08:18,180 --> 00:08:16,510 construct these global maps and once 200 00:08:20,340 --> 00:08:18,190 again you can see the spatial resolution 201 00:08:22,320 --> 00:08:20,350 of those stations and you can also see 202 00:08:24,270 --> 00:08:22,330 that especially stations like these in 203 00:08:26,850 --> 00:08:24,280 the middle of the Pacific Ocean one of 204 00:08:28,110 --> 00:08:26,860 which is right in your backyard here and 205 00:08:30,810 --> 00:08:28,120 there's a whole series running down the 206 00:08:33,630 --> 00:08:30,820 coast of the of us or put in places 207 00:08:35,490 --> 00:08:33,640 worked which are kind of clean they're 208 00:08:37,500 --> 00:08:35,500 not in in the middle of an industrial 209 00:08:39,209 --> 00:08:37,510 area the idea here for making 210 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:39,219 measurements and the reason that this 211 00:08:43,500 --> 00:08:41,530 network was originally put in place was 212 00:08:45,329 --> 00:08:43,510 to give us a good estimate of the global 213 00:08:46,740 --> 00:08:45,339 distribution we understood that 214 00:08:48,820 --> 00:08:46,750 measurements like those Flast 215 00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:48,830 measurements I just described only 216 00:08:51,790 --> 00:08:50,330 measure the immediate vicinity and 217 00:08:54,160 --> 00:08:51,800 what's going on when you happen to have 218 00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:54,170 the bottle open so if you put it in the 219 00:08:58,030 --> 00:08:55,610 region in a region where there's a very 220 00:08:59,770 --> 00:08:58,040 strong source of co2 it could be very 221 00:09:01,300 --> 00:08:59,780 strongly corrupted just by whether the 222 00:09:02,830 --> 00:09:01,310 wind is blowing from this direction or 223 00:09:05,740 --> 00:09:02,840 this direction okay 224 00:09:08,350 --> 00:09:05,750 in fact Easter Island over here over 225 00:09:09,760 --> 00:09:08,360 here sorry they actually go to one site 226 00:09:10,840 --> 00:09:09,770 on the island to make a measurement of 227 00:09:12,310 --> 00:09:10,850 the wind's blowing from a certain 228 00:09:13,660 --> 00:09:12,320 direction wind changes they go to 229 00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:13,670 another site make the measurement there 230 00:09:18,100 --> 00:09:15,410 so they can take a clean atmosphere 231 00:09:19,270 --> 00:09:18,110 measure okay so they've made those 232 00:09:21,070 --> 00:09:19,280 measurements over the earth and they've 233 00:09:24,460 --> 00:09:21,080 been making these measurements starting 234 00:09:27,490 --> 00:09:24,470 in 1957 from from this site right here 235 00:09:29,200 --> 00:09:27,500 on Mon Aloha this is Marleau Observatory 236 00:09:31,030 --> 00:09:29,210 this is the site that was started by 237 00:09:33,730 --> 00:09:31,040 Charles David Keeling back in the 238 00:09:35,830 --> 00:09:33,740 International Geophysical Year and that 239 00:09:38,170 --> 00:09:35,840 was the start of it all and this is what 240 00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:38,180 this is what Dave Keeling gets got for 241 00:09:43,630 --> 00:09:41,810 us before he passed on in any case is 242 00:09:45,100 --> 00:09:43,640 quite a contribution and is teaching us 243 00:09:46,990 --> 00:09:45,110 a lot now what is what is this showing 244 00:09:47,920 --> 00:09:47,000 us well first of all we start up here 245 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:47,930 let's start in the northern hemisphere 246 00:09:51,610 --> 00:09:49,730 remember this is the North Pole this is 247 00:09:53,290 --> 00:09:51,620 South Pole down here and let's start up 248 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:53,300 at this particular season this turns out 249 00:09:56,410 --> 00:09:54,890 being winter and I know that without 250 00:09:58,990 --> 00:09:56,420 even looking at the scale down here 251 00:10:00,940 --> 00:09:59,000 because I see that the co2 is high and 252 00:10:02,650 --> 00:10:00,950 what's going on there of course is that 253 00:10:04,840 --> 00:10:02,660 during the wintertime there's nothing 254 00:10:06,250 --> 00:10:04,850 that absorbs co2 in our system and we 255 00:10:09,220 --> 00:10:06,260 dump a bunch of it into our atmosphere 256 00:10:11,740 --> 00:10:09,230 primarily to stay warm in the wintertime 257 00:10:13,900 --> 00:10:11,750 then the spring comes and then the trees 258 00:10:15,940 --> 00:10:13,910 all grow the leaves and that actually 259 00:10:17,560 --> 00:10:15,950 the photosynthesis takes over and it 260 00:10:21,100 --> 00:10:17,570 starts pulling co2 out of the system 261 00:10:22,620 --> 00:10:21,110 okay and decreases the co2 substantially 262 00:10:26,020 --> 00:10:22,630 here notice that we're getting about 263 00:10:27,610 --> 00:10:26,030 along the order of almost 15 to 20 parts 264 00:10:29,410 --> 00:10:27,620 per million of co2 out of the system 265 00:10:30,760 --> 00:10:29,420 over the seasonal cycle there and then 266 00:10:32,380 --> 00:10:30,770 once again the trees all lose their 267 00:10:35,470 --> 00:10:32,390 leaves down here this is kind of the 268 00:10:37,390 --> 00:10:35,480 early fall when the co2 starts rising 269 00:10:39,280 --> 00:10:37,400 again it does that every year so once 270 00:10:41,350 --> 00:10:39,290 again it's the earth breathing talking 271 00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:41,360 about here so everybody knows that it's 272 00:10:46,030 --> 00:10:43,850 basically co2 is actually essential to 273 00:10:48,280 --> 00:10:46,040 convention essential to life and it's a 274 00:10:50,500 --> 00:10:48,290 it's a material in our atmosphere that 275 00:10:52,420 --> 00:10:50,510 we know a lot about because of that and 276 00:10:54,820 --> 00:10:52,430 have known for some years it's also the 277 00:10:56,500 --> 00:10:54,830 principal man-made greenhouse gas it's 278 00:10:58,840 --> 00:10:56,510 not the most efficient greenhouse gas 279 00:11:00,850 --> 00:10:58,850 that would be water vapor but it's the 280 00:11:02,540 --> 00:11:00,860 most efficient greenhouse gas that we 281 00:11:04,490 --> 00:11:02,550 produce we've dumped it into our 282 00:11:06,800 --> 00:11:04,500 fear overtime as you can see the amount 283 00:11:09,500 --> 00:11:06,810 of co2 in our atmosphere is increasing 284 00:11:11,420 --> 00:11:09,510 over time and that's mostly because of 285 00:11:14,140 --> 00:11:11,430 the co2 that we've been dumping into the 286 00:11:17,030 --> 00:11:14,150 system as from fossil fuel combustion 287 00:11:18,740 --> 00:11:17,040 biomass burning and other processes that 288 00:11:22,370 --> 00:11:18,750 we go through turns out some cement 289 00:11:23,540 --> 00:11:22,380 manufacture is a major source of co2 so 290 00:11:25,520 --> 00:11:23,550 once again those things have been going 291 00:11:26,510 --> 00:11:25,530 on as well and most people know that as 292 00:11:31,370 --> 00:11:26,520 well and you hear about it on the 293 00:11:33,140 --> 00:11:31,380 nightly news interesting now I'll come 294 00:11:34,850 --> 00:11:33,150 back to astrobiology here since this is 295 00:11:36,890 --> 00:11:34,860 an astrobiology seminar and I want to 296 00:11:39,380 --> 00:11:36,900 tie this to it the basic premise of 297 00:11:41,180 --> 00:11:39,390 astrobiology is that life can change an 298 00:11:42,830 --> 00:11:41,190 environment in a way that in principle 299 00:11:46,100 --> 00:11:42,840 could be detected from halfway across 300 00:11:49,010 --> 00:11:46,110 the galaxy well guess what guys we are 301 00:11:51,980 --> 00:11:49,020 we're doing that human induced changes 302 00:11:54,170 --> 00:11:51,990 in the carbon cycle we've been making 303 00:11:57,250 --> 00:11:54,180 measurements for quite a while from 1958 304 00:11:59,720 --> 00:11:57,260 to 2000 we've been basically producing 305 00:12:01,790 --> 00:11:59,730 something on the order of about 200 Giga 306 00:12:03,440 --> 00:12:01,800 tons of co2 a year on average we've been 307 00:12:05,270 --> 00:12:03,450 dumping into the atmosphere we know that 308 00:12:08,000 --> 00:12:05,280 because we know how much fossil fuels 309 00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:08,010 are sold we can estimate the burn areas 310 00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:10,170 for biomass burning and make all kinds 311 00:12:13,160 --> 00:12:11,970 of other measurement measurements the 312 00:12:14,990 --> 00:12:13,170 amazing thing though is that when we 313 00:12:17,330 --> 00:12:15,000 actually make measurements of co2 over 314 00:12:18,980 --> 00:12:17,340 time as we make careful measurements in 315 00:12:21,050 --> 00:12:18,990 the previous plot we're finding out that 316 00:12:22,550 --> 00:12:21,060 the amount of co2 that's actually 317 00:12:25,610 --> 00:12:22,560 sticking around in the atmosphere is 318 00:12:28,460 --> 00:12:25,620 about a hundred Giga tons or billions of 319 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:28,470 tons of co2 per year that's kind of a 320 00:12:34,490 --> 00:12:32,610 surprise okay what's going on here only 321 00:12:36,170 --> 00:12:34,500 about something less than 60 percent of 322 00:12:38,450 --> 00:12:36,180 the co2 is remaining in the atmosphere 323 00:12:42,980 --> 00:12:38,460 the rest is apparently being absorbed by 324 00:12:44,930 --> 00:12:42,990 the land biosphere by plants or by the 325 00:12:46,340 --> 00:12:44,940 oceans now we're gonna look at that a 326 00:12:48,530 --> 00:12:46,350 little bit more in a little bit more 327 00:12:50,360 --> 00:12:48,540 detail here in just a moment for reasons 328 00:12:51,860 --> 00:12:50,370 that haven't been may not be immediately 329 00:12:55,700 --> 00:12:51,870 obvious to all of you this is an 330 00:12:58,340 --> 00:12:55,710 incredibly important problem and 331 00:12:59,780 --> 00:12:58,350 actually the problem is that not all the 332 00:13:01,550 --> 00:12:59,790 co2 is staying in the atmosphere 333 00:13:03,160 --> 00:13:01,560 something is taking out a large part of 334 00:13:08,090 --> 00:13:03,170 it you'll see why in a moment 335 00:13:10,760 --> 00:13:08,100 now our current activities are releasing 336 00:13:12,820 --> 00:13:10,770 about seven billion tons of co2 337 00:13:16,250 --> 00:13:12,830 every year that's our contribution 338 00:13:18,440 --> 00:13:16,260 that's about one ton of co2 are actually 339 00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:18,450 one ton of carbon actually not of co2 340 00:13:24,650 --> 00:13:21,930 more than that in co2 once again about 341 00:13:27,829 --> 00:13:24,660 one ton of carbon per person on earth 342 00:13:29,600 --> 00:13:27,839 it's about it have you released your ton 343 00:13:33,260 --> 00:13:29,610 yet this year I'm a little ahead of 344 00:13:36,500 --> 00:13:33,270 schedule it turns out Americans are 345 00:13:38,769 --> 00:13:36,510 overachievers we actually put about 20 346 00:13:43,220 --> 00:13:38,779 tonnes of carbon into the atmosphere 347 00:13:46,579 --> 00:13:43,230 every year Japanese I said Europeans 348 00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:46,589 about 14 tonnes Japanese about 9 tonnes 349 00:13:52,400 --> 00:13:49,290 and the thing that really floored me was 350 00:13:55,100 --> 00:13:52,410 Chinese about 2 times they're coming up 351 00:13:57,199 --> 00:13:55,110 there and there are a lot of Chinese so 352 00:13:59,510 --> 00:13:57,209 in any case we're putting a lot of a lot 353 00:14:01,040 --> 00:13:59,520 of co2 into the atmosphere carbon into 354 00:14:03,980 --> 00:14:01,050 the atmosphere of a year primarily is 355 00:14:06,199 --> 00:14:03,990 co2 there are other parts of the country 356 00:14:08,329 --> 00:14:06,209 of the world like India in most of 357 00:14:10,130 --> 00:14:08,339 Africa where they're just not holding 358 00:14:12,380 --> 00:14:10,140 their own they're not putting in their 1 359 00:14:15,319 --> 00:14:12,390 tonne piece otherwise we'd be in much 360 00:14:17,600 --> 00:14:15,329 bigger trouble than we are okay in any 361 00:14:19,610 --> 00:14:17,610 case that's about the level of this of 362 00:14:22,760 --> 00:14:19,620 the co2 input into the system the 363 00:14:32,930 --> 00:14:22,770 biggest issue is at the moment it's not 364 00:14:34,790 --> 00:14:32,940 staying there over all years yeah 365 00:14:36,740 --> 00:14:34,800 listen integrated sorry about that that 366 00:14:37,970 --> 00:14:36,750 looks a little bit confusing now so 367 00:14:40,280 --> 00:14:37,980 what's going on it turns out that since 368 00:14:41,540 --> 00:14:40,290 1957 only about half the co2 we've been 369 00:14:43,430 --> 00:14:41,550 dumping into the atmosphere has been 370 00:14:45,170 --> 00:14:43,440 staying there one way of plotting that 371 00:14:46,970 --> 00:14:45,180 is actually shown here this is a plot 372 00:14:48,410 --> 00:14:46,980 that I pulled out of this came out of 373 00:14:50,720 --> 00:14:48,420 Hanson and Saito but it could have come 374 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:50,730 out of the IPCC report it is I just like 375 00:14:55,040 --> 00:14:53,250 the colors better here basically what we 376 00:14:57,260 --> 00:14:55,050 see is the co2 annual emissions this is 377 00:14:58,610 --> 00:14:57,270 by fossil fuels alone it turns out this 378 00:15:00,260 --> 00:14:58,620 doesn't include the other contributions 379 00:15:04,519 --> 00:15:00,270 which would bring it up quite a bit 380 00:15:06,199 --> 00:15:04,529 higher but only about 20% higher if you 381 00:15:07,460 --> 00:15:06,209 then look at the amount of co2 that 382 00:15:08,750 --> 00:15:07,470 actually stays in the system from the 383 00:15:09,800 --> 00:15:08,760 measurements by integrating those 384 00:15:12,050 --> 00:15:09,810 measurements I showed at the beginning 385 00:15:15,110 --> 00:15:12,060 of the talk that nice flying carpet of 386 00:15:17,300 --> 00:15:15,120 co2 you'd get this yellow curve okay 387 00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:17,310 notice that the area under that curves 388 00:15:20,990 --> 00:15:19,170 about half of the total area that's 389 00:15:21,740 --> 00:15:21,000 about all the co2 that's been staying in 390 00:15:25,340 --> 00:15:21,750 the atmosphere 391 00:15:27,590 --> 00:15:25,350 now what's going on here something is 392 00:15:29,509 --> 00:15:27,600 absorbing this mentioned land and ocean 393 00:15:30,769 --> 00:15:29,519 it could be either one we need to 394 00:15:34,639 --> 00:15:30,779 understand that better than we currently 395 00:15:36,829 --> 00:15:34,649 do in a minute and it could also be in 396 00:15:38,629 --> 00:15:36,839 Eurasia or it could be in North America 397 00:15:40,550 --> 00:15:38,639 somewhere we got a significant North 398 00:15:42,619 --> 00:15:40,560 American sink we know that by looking at 399 00:15:44,749 --> 00:15:42,629 the gradients in the carbon dioxide that 400 00:15:46,850 --> 00:15:44,759 we measure from the current Network we 401 00:15:50,389 --> 00:15:46,860 don't know where that sink is why do we 402 00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:50,399 care why might we care about where the 403 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:51,410 sink is 404 00:15:56,269 --> 00:15:53,970 well it turns out there's a treaty that 405 00:15:58,730 --> 00:15:56,279 everybody knows about called Kyoto turns 406 00:16:00,230 --> 00:15:58,740 out that the US and Australian wrote a 407 00:16:03,350 --> 00:16:00,240 significant part of that treaty they 408 00:16:06,019 --> 00:16:03,360 wrote the carbon trading scheme our 409 00:16:07,819 --> 00:16:06,029 teams did that and they wrote in there 410 00:16:09,410 --> 00:16:07,829 that you get penalized for sources you 411 00:16:10,999 --> 00:16:09,420 get credit for sinks I think the 412 00:16:17,900 --> 00:16:11,009 Australian team came up with this great 413 00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:17,910 idea neither country signed it but you 414 00:16:21,379 --> 00:16:19,410 know someday we're going to sign one of 415 00:16:22,309 --> 00:16:21,389 these treaties we actually did sign 416 00:16:24,679 --> 00:16:22,319 something called the Framework 417 00:16:27,230 --> 00:16:24,689 Convention which actually obligates us 418 00:16:28,670 --> 00:16:27,240 to not put more co2 in the atmosphere in 419 00:16:31,129 --> 00:16:28,680 the heart of the climate we did that 420 00:16:32,720 --> 00:16:31,139 back in 1992 and that actually he's 421 00:16:34,249 --> 00:16:32,730 going to come up with a trading scheme 422 00:16:36,439 --> 00:16:34,259 pretty soon we're gonna be seeing a co2 423 00:16:38,210 --> 00:16:36,449 trading scheme in the US probably in the 424 00:16:40,009 --> 00:16:38,220 next few years it's already implemented 425 00:16:42,889 --> 00:16:40,019 in most of the civilized world 426 00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:42,899 so we really care whether the co2 sinks 427 00:16:47,119 --> 00:16:44,490 that are absorbing half of all the co2 428 00:16:49,670 --> 00:16:47,129 are in North America or Eurasia because 429 00:16:51,650 --> 00:16:49,680 that's money in the bank okay that call 430 00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:51,660 it compensates for some of the sources 431 00:16:55,249 --> 00:16:53,490 that you have allows you to meet your 432 00:16:56,900 --> 00:16:55,259 quotas the other thing that really is a 433 00:16:59,720 --> 00:16:56,910 much bigger question that I look at from 434 00:17:01,819 --> 00:16:59,730 a climatology standpoint is if you look 435 00:17:04,909 --> 00:17:01,829 at this curve what's all that structure 436 00:17:07,189 --> 00:17:04,919 about some years almost everything I put 437 00:17:11,419 --> 00:17:07,199 into the atmosphere stays there just a 438 00:17:13,880 --> 00:17:11,429 couple of years later almost nothing why 439 00:17:16,460 --> 00:17:13,890 does the co2 absorption by the system 440 00:17:17,649 --> 00:17:16,470 change dramatically from one year to the 441 00:17:22,250 --> 00:17:17,659 next 442 00:17:24,529 --> 00:17:22,260 we don't know I cannot predict what the 443 00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:24,539 co2 build-up in the atmosphere will be 444 00:17:30,230 --> 00:17:29,010 at the end of this year but somebody 445 00:17:31,850 --> 00:17:30,240 wants me to predict what the co2 446 00:17:33,470 --> 00:17:31,860 build-up is going to be 50 years from 447 00:17:35,470 --> 00:17:33,480 now so I can predict what its impact is 448 00:17:39,019 --> 00:17:35,480 on the climate 449 00:17:41,659 --> 00:17:39,029 this is a problem we don't know what 450 00:17:44,299 --> 00:17:41,669 processes are controlling co2 in our 451 00:17:46,549 --> 00:17:44,309 atmosphere today and if we can't figure 452 00:17:47,960 --> 00:17:46,559 out what's going on today we certainly 453 00:17:50,389 --> 00:17:47,970 don't know how these things might 454 00:17:52,210 --> 00:17:50,399 respond to climate change whether or not 455 00:17:56,029 --> 00:17:52,220 they may become more efficient or less 456 00:17:58,909 --> 00:17:56,039 the difference between this and this is 457 00:18:02,169 --> 00:17:58,919 the difference between a Humvee and a 458 00:18:03,350 --> 00:18:02,179 Prius that's a pretty big difference 459 00:18:05,029 --> 00:18:03,360 okay 460 00:18:06,950 --> 00:18:05,039 so it'd be nice to understand the 461 00:18:11,330 --> 00:18:06,960 processes that are controlling the co2 462 00:18:13,070 --> 00:18:11,340 in our system today okay let me show you 463 00:18:15,230 --> 00:18:13,080 what some of the uncertainties are this 464 00:18:18,049 --> 00:18:15,240 just shows some of our uncertainties in 465 00:18:19,399 --> 00:18:18,059 the land ecosystem uptake of co2 once 466 00:18:23,029 --> 00:18:19,409 again we've put out about seven Giga 467 00:18:24,350 --> 00:18:23,039 tons a year it turns out that we about 468 00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:24,360 four tons of that stay in the atmosphere 469 00:18:28,220 --> 00:18:26,490 there's about three times missing now 470 00:18:30,080 --> 00:18:28,230 there's a whole bunch of studies about 471 00:18:31,789 --> 00:18:30,090 once every second month we get a study 472 00:18:34,880 --> 00:18:31,799 that comes out that comes up with a 473 00:18:37,159 --> 00:18:34,890 quantification of the the co2 abundance 474 00:18:38,570 --> 00:18:37,169 that's going into the land biomass and 475 00:18:40,730 --> 00:18:38,580 these are just three that a colleague of 476 00:18:42,860 --> 00:18:40,740 mine Ross ala which pulled out to 477 00:18:44,510 --> 00:18:42,870 demonstrate the situation this is kind 478 00:18:46,279 --> 00:18:44,520 of how it goes now this is granted just 479 00:18:48,350 --> 00:18:46,289 the North America this is this is now 480 00:18:50,269 --> 00:18:48,360 more global and North America and Europe 481 00:18:54,049 --> 00:18:50,279 and this is northern hemisphere 482 00:18:55,669 --> 00:18:54,059 once again this tries to be most of the 483 00:18:57,980 --> 00:18:55,679 northern hemisphere these numbers vary 484 00:19:00,470 --> 00:18:57,990 all over the map the methods we're 485 00:19:01,970 --> 00:19:00,480 currently using are not adequate even 486 00:19:03,500 --> 00:19:01,980 though they can tell us how much co2 is 487 00:19:05,360 --> 00:19:03,510 in the atmosphere and some global since 488 00:19:07,460 --> 00:19:05,370 they're not adequate to show us where 489 00:19:11,149 --> 00:19:07,470 it's going to in the land biomass we 490 00:19:13,820 --> 00:19:11,159 need this anything you want same thing 491 00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:13,830 for the ocean the oceans are what we do 492 00:19:17,990 --> 00:19:15,450 to measure co2 in the ocean is actually 493 00:19:20,299 --> 00:19:18,000 measure a quantity called P co2 or it's 494 00:19:21,860 --> 00:19:20,309 actually the Lycia it's the acidity of 495 00:19:23,930 --> 00:19:21,870 the ocean essentially if you think about 496 00:19:27,380 --> 00:19:23,940 it in the simplest possible sense and 497 00:19:29,419 --> 00:19:27,390 once again pick a number I ordered these 498 00:19:29,870 --> 00:19:29,429 in terms of increasing size but that's 499 00:19:32,330 --> 00:19:29,880 about it 500 00:19:33,799 --> 00:19:32,340 I don't think that it you know one could 501 00:19:35,510 --> 00:19:33,809 argue gosh the oceans are doing the 502 00:19:36,830 --> 00:19:35,520 whole job well about a month after this 503 00:19:38,330 --> 00:19:36,840 came out somebody came out with an 504 00:19:40,940 --> 00:19:38,340 article saying that's not right because 505 00:19:43,460 --> 00:19:40,950 of whatever so once again we're still 506 00:19:46,490 --> 00:19:43,470 debating where the co2 is going to and 507 00:19:50,390 --> 00:19:46,500 the error bars are enormous that's the 508 00:19:54,870 --> 00:19:53,370 why do we care from the standpoint of 509 00:19:56,789 --> 00:19:54,880 the climate of the earth and its 510 00:19:59,580 --> 00:19:56,799 evolution over time this is one example 511 00:20:02,070 --> 00:19:59,590 you know once when co2 is absorbing 512 00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:02,080 being absorbed into land plants that's a 513 00:20:05,010 --> 00:20:03,490 pretty good thing it actually acts as a 514 00:20:06,539 --> 00:20:05,020 form of fertilizer at least at the 515 00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:06,549 levels that we're at now we double it 516 00:20:10,320 --> 00:20:08,410 it's not so good right now it's it's 517 00:20:11,940 --> 00:20:10,330 actually acting as a fertilizer and it 518 00:20:13,860 --> 00:20:11,950 turns out the earth is a lot greener now 519 00:20:15,270 --> 00:20:13,870 than it was a century ago because we 520 00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:15,280 chopped out every tree in the northern 521 00:20:19,530 --> 00:20:16,570 hemisphere threw it into our steam 522 00:20:20,730 --> 00:20:19,540 locomotives and burned it and then we 523 00:20:22,260 --> 00:20:20,740 had the Dust Bowl and we started 524 00:20:25,049 --> 00:20:22,270 planting trees again just to keep the 525 00:20:26,310 --> 00:20:25,059 dirt stuck to the ground ok those trees 526 00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:26,320 that were planted during the Great 527 00:20:31,500 --> 00:20:28,570 Depression and afterwards in Russia and 528 00:20:32,940 --> 00:20:31,510 European Europe and in the US are in 529 00:20:34,320 --> 00:20:32,950 their Wonderbread years right now 530 00:20:35,880 --> 00:20:34,330 they're in their peak growing phase 531 00:20:39,020 --> 00:20:35,890 actually they're just falling out of 532 00:20:41,669 --> 00:20:39,030 their peak chronic phase so once again 533 00:20:44,640 --> 00:20:41,679 little extra co2 being absorbed by land 534 00:20:46,740 --> 00:20:44,650 plants not a big deal and for right now 535 00:20:48,210 --> 00:20:46,750 it's not really causing any problems I 536 00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:48,220 wish I could say the same about the 537 00:20:54,450 --> 00:20:50,970 oceans the oceans are becoming more 538 00:20:56,159 --> 00:20:54,460 acidic especially the North Atlantic but 539 00:20:57,900 --> 00:20:56,169 a problem that's been pointed out and 540 00:20:59,669 --> 00:20:57,910 the people are becoming obsessed with is 541 00:21:01,380 --> 00:20:59,679 now the South Pacific and the circum 542 00:21:03,510 --> 00:21:01,390 Antarctic current is also showing a 543 00:21:05,190 --> 00:21:03,520 significant increase in co2 and what's 544 00:21:06,750 --> 00:21:05,200 happening of course is that we dump the 545 00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:06,760 stuff in primarily it's absorbed in 546 00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:08,530 North Atlantic and the deep water brings 547 00:21:12,390 --> 00:21:10,210 it down and it pops back up down here 548 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:12,400 nothing can live in the stuff that's the 549 00:21:18,150 --> 00:21:16,450 concern and over time as we go from back 550 00:21:19,950 --> 00:21:18,160 in the far past through the present and 551 00:21:21,930 --> 00:21:19,960 into the future were worried that the 552 00:21:23,250 --> 00:21:21,940 productivity of the oceans especially 553 00:21:25,409 --> 00:21:23,260 the southern oceans are going to suffer 554 00:21:29,430 --> 00:21:25,419 dramatically as the oceans continue to 555 00:21:31,020 --> 00:21:29,440 absorb co2 ok this is one scenario my 556 00:21:32,970 --> 00:21:31,030 colleague Scott Donny a member of our 557 00:21:35,100 --> 00:21:32,980 team came up with this and published in 558 00:21:36,840 --> 00:21:35,110 Scientific American last year a good 559 00:21:39,390 --> 00:21:36,850 article by the way if you want to take a 560 00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:39,400 look at it so what we're gonna do about 561 00:21:44,940 --> 00:21:42,730 that so there are large uncertainties in 562 00:21:46,440 --> 00:21:44,950 where the co2 sinks are and so what we 563 00:21:48,330 --> 00:21:46,450 did was we tried to come up with an 564 00:21:50,250 --> 00:21:48,340 approach to make a measurement of 565 00:21:52,500 --> 00:21:50,260 atmospheric co2 with the precision 566 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:52,510 needed to look for sources and sinks and 567 00:21:55,830 --> 00:21:54,250 then the characterize their variability 568 00:21:58,140 --> 00:21:55,840 over at least a couple of seasonal 569 00:21:59,190 --> 00:21:58,150 cycles and we were actually because we 570 00:22:01,889 --> 00:21:59,200 were looking at a global 571 00:22:03,539 --> 00:22:01,899 problem that pushed us to space about 572 00:22:06,090 --> 00:22:03,549 the only way we could figure out to make 573 00:22:08,549 --> 00:22:06,100 this measurement everywhere we needed to 574 00:22:10,740 --> 00:22:08,559 make it was to go to space we didn't 575 00:22:12,570 --> 00:22:10,750 come up with a perfect solution and we 576 00:22:14,669 --> 00:22:12,580 didn't come up with the last co2 mission 577 00:22:17,070 --> 00:22:14,679 that we're gonna launch into space we 578 00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:17,080 came up with a pretty good solution and 579 00:22:20,909 --> 00:22:19,570 we came up with a the first co2 mission 580 00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:20,919 that we're planning to launch into space 581 00:22:25,259 --> 00:22:23,250 to make a dedicated co2 measurement 582 00:22:26,610 --> 00:22:25,269 measure mission is called the orbiting 583 00:22:31,169 --> 00:22:26,620 carbon Observatory I've already 584 00:22:32,970 --> 00:22:31,179 described it to you in physical context 585 00:22:34,169 --> 00:22:32,980 the basic approach is to make 586 00:22:37,769 --> 00:22:34,179 measurements of atmospheric carbon 587 00:22:39,810 --> 00:22:37,779 dioxide and molecular oxygen over the 588 00:22:41,370 --> 00:22:39,820 sunlit sunlit hemisphere we're gonna use 589 00:22:42,930 --> 00:22:41,380 reflected sunlight for that you'll see 590 00:22:45,330 --> 00:22:42,940 why in a moment we're gonna use these 591 00:22:47,399 --> 00:22:45,340 data to resolve variations in a quantity 592 00:22:48,750 --> 00:22:47,409 that we kind of made out now you get to 593 00:22:50,610 --> 00:22:48,760 invent your own quantities in this 594 00:22:52,590 --> 00:22:50,620 business this is it tells you how new it 595 00:22:53,669 --> 00:22:52,600 is new of the field this is we're going 596 00:22:55,980 --> 00:22:53,679 to measure something called the column 597 00:22:58,080 --> 00:22:55,990 average co2 dry dry or mole fraction 598 00:23:01,200 --> 00:22:58,090 because that's hard to say fast many 599 00:23:04,019 --> 00:23:01,210 times we're going to call it X co2 okay 600 00:23:06,570 --> 00:23:04,029 I invented that term as far as I know 601 00:23:10,649 --> 00:23:06,580 about seven or eight years ago and now 602 00:23:12,299 --> 00:23:10,659 it keeps popping up in papers in any 603 00:23:14,789 --> 00:23:12,309 case this is just the ratio of co2 to 604 00:23:17,519 --> 00:23:14,799 oxygen and column densities multiplied 605 00:23:20,639 --> 00:23:17,529 by the nominal oxygen mixing ratio now 606 00:23:23,129 --> 00:23:20,649 first of all why do I measure co2 oxygen 607 00:23:26,700 --> 00:23:23,139 if I want to measure co2 turns out it's 608 00:23:28,169 --> 00:23:26,710 a very simple reasoning if I just 609 00:23:30,149 --> 00:23:28,179 measure co2 and I measure it very 610 00:23:32,610 --> 00:23:30,159 precisely in our atmosphere what I end 611 00:23:36,629 --> 00:23:32,620 up doing is I measure more molecules 612 00:23:38,669 --> 00:23:36,639 over valleys and fewer molecules over 613 00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:38,679 mountains I can actually measure very 614 00:23:42,990 --> 00:23:40,450 small topographic obstacles with the 615 00:23:45,299 --> 00:23:43,000 satellite an obstacle as small as 30 616 00:23:50,580 --> 00:23:45,309 meters I can resolve the co2 617 00:23:51,870 --> 00:23:50,590 measurements so if I measure variations 618 00:23:53,490 --> 00:23:51,880 in co2 I could just be looking at 619 00:23:56,279 --> 00:23:53,500 surface topography I could be looking at 620 00:23:57,870 --> 00:23:56,289 a bunch of different things however but 621 00:24:00,060 --> 00:23:57,880 make a measurement of oxygen along the 622 00:24:02,460 --> 00:24:00,070 same optical path that I made that 623 00:24:04,049 --> 00:24:02,470 measurement of co2 and I Ray Show those 624 00:24:06,629 --> 00:24:04,059 two i'm actually measuring something 625 00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:06,639 that's like a concentration and if i see 626 00:24:10,919 --> 00:24:09,490 more co2 here and less co2 there in 627 00:24:11,270 --> 00:24:10,929 terms of total amount you know who knows 628 00:24:13,280 --> 00:24:11,280 what 629 00:24:15,050 --> 00:24:13,290 but I see a higher concentration there 630 00:24:16,460 --> 00:24:15,060 and a lower concentration there 631 00:24:18,350 --> 00:24:16,470 someone's putting it in there 632 00:24:20,780 --> 00:24:18,360 something's taking it out there that's a 633 00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:20,790 measurement of sources and saints okay 634 00:24:25,310 --> 00:24:22,650 that's what I'm after here measuring co2 635 00:24:28,430 --> 00:24:25,320 sources and co2 sinks I also want to 636 00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:28,440 emphasize I kind of know where most of 637 00:24:34,940 --> 00:24:30,930 the sources are this is not a source 638 00:24:37,010 --> 00:24:34,950 mission some might wonder how I managed 639 00:24:40,700 --> 00:24:37,020 to sell a co2 mission to the bush-cheney 640 00:24:45,140 --> 00:24:40,710 White House this is not a co2 source 641 00:24:46,550 --> 00:24:45,150 mission this is a co2 sink mission you 642 00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:46,560 want to know where the co2 sources are 643 00:24:51,560 --> 00:24:48,570 goes a Wall Street Journal pick it up 644 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:51,570 find out who's buying petroleum coal you 645 00:24:54,950 --> 00:24:53,610 can figure it out nobody stores that 646 00:24:56,990 --> 00:24:54,960 stuff they buy it and they burn it 647 00:24:59,990 --> 00:24:57,000 pretty much in place figure out where 648 00:25:02,330 --> 00:25:00,000 they burned it even but once again the 649 00:25:06,230 --> 00:25:02,340 sinks they're spatially diffused we 650 00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:06,240 think long acting they act over a long 651 00:25:10,220 --> 00:25:08,850 period of time very weak so it makes it 652 00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:10,230 requires a very very sensitive 653 00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:12,450 measurement and in fact admit it 654 00:25:17,060 --> 00:25:14,730 requires a measurement that is more 655 00:25:20,690 --> 00:25:17,070 sensitive than any trace gas measurement 656 00:25:22,850 --> 00:25:20,700 we've ever made from a satellite but not 657 00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:22,860 by much turns out we regularly measure 658 00:25:29,360 --> 00:25:25,890 ozone to about one part took for about 659 00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:29,370 to about 1% of its concentration that's 660 00:25:32,990 --> 00:25:30,930 the standard value for making 661 00:25:34,700 --> 00:25:33,000 measurements of ozone and that's the 662 00:25:36,560 --> 00:25:34,710 standard that we're again working 663 00:25:37,640 --> 00:25:36,570 against it turns out that as you'll see 664 00:25:39,260 --> 00:25:37,650 in a moment I need to make measurements 665 00:25:40,820 --> 00:25:39,270 that are good to about three tenths of 666 00:25:42,980 --> 00:25:40,830 1% to make a significant contribution 667 00:25:45,320 --> 00:25:42,990 here because it turns out the co2 668 00:25:47,930 --> 00:25:45,330 variations are smaller than those other 669 00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:47,940 variations so you see a little bit more 670 00:25:50,570 --> 00:25:49,050 about that so we're gonna make the most 671 00:25:52,670 --> 00:25:50,580 precise space-based measurement of a 672 00:25:54,860 --> 00:25:52,680 trace gas that's ever been made and in 673 00:25:56,960 --> 00:25:54,870 order to do that and verify that we put 674 00:25:59,630 --> 00:25:56,970 together a very comprehensive land-based 675 00:26:00,920 --> 00:25:59,640 a ground truth system that will tell us 676 00:26:02,330 --> 00:26:00,930 whether or not our measurement is what 677 00:26:04,310 --> 00:26:02,340 we think it is so we've got a satellite 678 00:26:07,130 --> 00:26:04,320 will make measurements around the entire 679 00:26:09,260 --> 00:26:07,140 Earth using measurements in co2 and 680 00:26:11,510 --> 00:26:09,270 oxygen bands we're going to use the 681 00:26:13,940 --> 00:26:11,520 spatial variations in the co2 that's a 682 00:26:15,140 --> 00:26:13,950 map of shown here to look for sources 683 00:26:17,530 --> 00:26:15,150 and sinks and we'll verify our 684 00:26:19,730 --> 00:26:17,540 measurements against a ground-based 685 00:26:21,850 --> 00:26:19,740 validation and calibration system you 686 00:26:23,860 --> 00:26:21,860 can hear about all of those things 687 00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:23,870 okay what is X co2 688 00:26:26,950 --> 00:26:25,610 I kind of defined it as a term but that 689 00:26:28,030 --> 00:26:26,960 probably meant something to about half 690 00:26:29,860 --> 00:26:28,040 of you 691 00:26:31,660 --> 00:26:29,870 what we're really doing is we see the 692 00:26:33,820 --> 00:26:31,670 sunlight shining to the atmosphere and 693 00:26:36,010 --> 00:26:33,830 encounters co2 and oxygen molecules as 694 00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:36,020 it goes through the atmosphere it goes 695 00:26:39,940 --> 00:26:37,730 down hits the old surface track comes up 696 00:26:41,740 --> 00:26:39,950 hits the satellite what I do is I 697 00:26:43,660 --> 00:26:41,750 measure a column abundance of co2 a 698 00:26:45,520 --> 00:26:43,670 column abundance of oxygen I take the 699 00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:45,530 measurement the ratio of those two that 700 00:26:49,870 --> 00:26:47,090 gives me a path length independent 701 00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:49,880 estimate of a column abundance it 702 00:26:53,530 --> 00:26:51,890 doesn't really measure a column as shown 703 00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:53,540 here it really measures the column 704 00:26:56,710 --> 00:26:54,890 you're really looking at is the column 705 00:26:58,510 --> 00:26:56,720 of gas that actually is traced out by 706 00:27:00,760 --> 00:26:58,520 the line between the satellite and the 707 00:27:02,590 --> 00:27:00,770 Sun so it measures every co2 molecule 708 00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:02,600 between us and the Sun that's basically 709 00:27:05,980 --> 00:27:04,490 the idea it has a small surface 710 00:27:08,290 --> 00:27:05,990 footprint as you'll see a little later 711 00:27:10,540 --> 00:27:08,300 on for other reasons but basically 712 00:27:11,860 --> 00:27:10,550 that's basically all we're doing the 713 00:27:13,360 --> 00:27:11,870 measure X co2 so we take a 714 00:27:15,700 --> 00:27:13,370 high-resolution spectrum that's a co2 715 00:27:16,780 --> 00:27:15,710 it's the oxygen van we're gonna get to 716 00:27:19,120 --> 00:27:16,790 know those a little bit better in a 717 00:27:20,380 --> 00:27:19,130 moment as well okay so that's the kind 718 00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:20,390 of measurement so this basically allows 719 00:27:23,650 --> 00:27:21,850 me by measuring these things 720 00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:23,660 inconsistently with each other along the 721 00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:25,250 same path you know that we got a very 722 00:27:28,660 --> 00:27:27,170 complicated path like one over the San 723 00:27:31,299 --> 00:27:28,670 Gabriel Mountains here in Southern 724 00:27:32,260 --> 00:27:31,309 California San Gabriel Valley will be 725 00:27:37,390 --> 00:27:32,270 able to pull out the right 726 00:27:40,270 --> 00:27:37,400 concentrations what's the big deal with 727 00:27:43,780 --> 00:27:40,280 terms of in the terms of the the 728 00:27:46,630 --> 00:27:43,790 accuracy of this measurement well this 729 00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:46,640 is a map of X co2 that was generated by 730 00:27:51,040 --> 00:27:48,530 a model now it's a little smoother than 731 00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:51,050 we at the real map would be actually 732 00:27:56,169 --> 00:27:53,210 measure it but it does actually show one 733 00:27:59,080 --> 00:27:56,179 of the main obstacles of rub against co2 734 00:28:00,580 --> 00:27:59,090 as a mixing ratio around 380 parts per 735 00:28:02,049 --> 00:28:00,590 million this map was a couple of years 736 00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:02,059 old I've got to go and readjust my 737 00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:05,090 values here again keeps changing some s 738 00:28:10,150 --> 00:28:08,210 the total dipole variation in this 739 00:28:13,840 --> 00:28:10,160 quantity X co2 I should say they told a 740 00:28:17,590 --> 00:28:13,850 pole variation in co2 as measured at the 741 00:28:19,510 --> 00:28:17,600 surface is 15 or so 15 to 20 parts per 742 00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:19,520 million that's what we measure with the 743 00:28:23,620 --> 00:28:21,770 flasks okay but most of the variability 744 00:28:24,940 --> 00:28:23,630 we're seeing is right at the surface and 745 00:28:26,410 --> 00:28:24,950 in the in the planetary boundary layer 746 00:28:28,270 --> 00:28:26,420 the lowest say hundred millibars of 747 00:28:30,520 --> 00:28:28,280 atmosphere yeah above that there's 748 00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:30,530 almost no variability at all so when you 749 00:28:35,290 --> 00:28:31,970 take that all together you basically 750 00:28:36,750 --> 00:28:35,300 find out that the the total variation 751 00:28:38,430 --> 00:28:36,760 that you see in X 752 00:28:41,580 --> 00:28:38,440 - around the world here's about eight 753 00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:41,590 parts per million that's about it if I 754 00:28:45,090 --> 00:28:43,090 can't resolve something on the order of 755 00:28:46,650 --> 00:28:45,100 a part per million on at least spacial 756 00:28:49,020 --> 00:28:46,660 scale is comparable to one of these grid 757 00:28:51,539 --> 00:28:49,030 boxes here probably not going to be able 758 00:28:55,169 --> 00:28:51,549 to do this problem so I really need a 759 00:28:57,000 --> 00:28:55,179 very precise measurement co2 it's a 760 00:29:00,000 --> 00:28:57,010 major issue here that we need to think 761 00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:00,010 about so I want to resolve things like 762 00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:02,530 notice that the specific things I'm 763 00:29:06,390 --> 00:29:04,330 trying to do is a little more co2 here 764 00:29:08,010 --> 00:29:06,400 eck co2 they're a little less they're a 765 00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:08,020 little more there if I want to resolve 766 00:29:12,270 --> 00:29:10,450 those kinds of variations once again 767 00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:12,280 maybe a fraction of a part per million 768 00:29:16,020 --> 00:29:14,530 out of 380 parts per million so maybe 769 00:29:17,490 --> 00:29:16,030 it's even that is better than three 770 00:29:19,260 --> 00:29:17,500 tenths of a part per million on a 771 00:29:21,750 --> 00:29:19,270 regional scale so what we've done is 772 00:29:24,720 --> 00:29:21,760 design a system that should be able to 773 00:29:27,180 --> 00:29:24,730 do that if we can do that we believe we 774 00:29:34,039 --> 00:29:27,190 can reduce the co2 flux errors to the 775 00:29:39,030 --> 00:29:37,020 sadly no as you'll see the satellite 776 00:29:42,120 --> 00:29:39,040 takes very very high-resolution 777 00:29:43,830 --> 00:29:42,130 measurements which we take a couple of 778 00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:43,840 thousand measurements over each one of 779 00:29:49,080 --> 00:29:47,650 these boxes every 16 days it turns out 780 00:29:51,900 --> 00:29:49,090 that some of them are completely clouded 781 00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:51,910 over others we get lots and lots of data 782 00:29:56,789 --> 00:29:53,890 in so it's going to be it's going to be 783 00:29:58,500 --> 00:29:56,799 a challenge to wrestle through what the 784 00:30:00,570 --> 00:29:58,510 earth throws at us but know our 785 00:30:01,860 --> 00:30:00,580 footprints are quite small for reasons 786 00:30:04,500 --> 00:30:01,870 that will become obvious in just a 787 00:30:06,150 --> 00:30:04,510 moment now this is what this is the same 788 00:30:08,250 --> 00:30:06,160 model by the way these are Jimmy 789 00:30:10,860 --> 00:30:08,260 Anderson at UC Irvine Randy's for us 790 00:30:12,990 --> 00:30:10,870 using the notch Casa Casa model which is 791 00:30:15,180 --> 00:30:13,000 one of the most sophisticated carbon 792 00:30:16,799 --> 00:30:15,190 cycle modeling systems that we've got 793 00:30:18,570 --> 00:30:16,809 and basically this is a shows you the 794 00:30:20,159 --> 00:30:18,580 seasonal cycle of X co2 and once again 795 00:30:22,620 --> 00:30:20,169 you see kind of what you expect this is 796 00:30:25,710 --> 00:30:22,630 special Airy and a moderate amounts of 797 00:30:27,840 --> 00:30:25,720 of co2 here actually we have more co2 in 798 00:30:29,280 --> 00:30:27,850 the system in May in the very northern 799 00:30:31,710 --> 00:30:29,290 parts of the of the globe 800 00:30:33,419 --> 00:30:31,720 mainly because at this point still 801 00:30:34,950 --> 00:30:33,429 nothing's growing up there's just 802 00:30:36,510 --> 00:30:34,960 thawing that part of the world off of 803 00:30:38,580 --> 00:30:36,520 course this is a couple of years old now 804 00:30:40,380 --> 00:30:38,590 this year I think it'd be a little 805 00:30:42,330 --> 00:30:40,390 greener a little earlier than that once 806 00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:42,340 again as we going around the year as we 807 00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:44,410 get into August over here notice that 808 00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:45,730 everything is green up here and all the 809 00:30:49,550 --> 00:30:48,130 co2 has gone away basically is pull hard 810 00:30:51,470 --> 00:30:49,560 I see a tremendous amount 811 00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:51,480 system once again coming back up to 812 00:30:56,420 --> 00:30:53,010 November here so you can see the 813 00:30:58,370 --> 00:30:56,430 seasonal cycle your reads here okay so 814 00:31:01,700 --> 00:30:58,380 the earth is actually an organism here 815 00:31:02,870 --> 00:31:01,710 in that regard how do we actually make 816 00:31:04,700 --> 00:31:02,880 measurements with the kinds of 817 00:31:06,950 --> 00:31:04,710 Precision's that we need to address the 818 00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:06,960 problems we're trying to address this 819 00:31:10,970 --> 00:31:08,730 became one of the biggest issues that we 820 00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:10,980 had to encounter and in the end what we 821 00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:12,810 decided to do was to make measurements 822 00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:15,450 in a couple of near-infrared co2 and 823 00:31:20,090 --> 00:31:17,850 oxygen band and let me try to explain 824 00:31:22,220 --> 00:31:20,100 why we did that there's a satellite up 825 00:31:24,890 --> 00:31:22,230 there right now called the atmospheric 826 00:31:26,510 --> 00:31:24,900 infrared radiometer and it's our it's 827 00:31:29,560 --> 00:31:26,520 the spectrometer which is the airs 828 00:31:31,760 --> 00:31:29,570 instrument which is on the aqua platform 829 00:31:35,060 --> 00:31:31,770 this instrument makes a thermal infrared 830 00:31:38,150 --> 00:31:35,070 measurement in the co2 15 micron in 4.3 831 00:31:40,490 --> 00:31:38,160 micron bands this measurement actually 832 00:31:42,980 --> 00:31:40,500 was originally intended only to measure 833 00:31:45,800 --> 00:31:42,990 temperature profiles in the Earth's 834 00:31:47,180 --> 00:31:45,810 atmosphere so subsequently they 835 00:31:48,980 --> 00:31:47,190 discovered that if they once they 836 00:31:50,510 --> 00:31:48,990 retrieved the temperature they can take 837 00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:50,520 a small amount of the data reserve it 838 00:31:53,870 --> 00:31:52,650 and go off and retrieve co2 from it and 839 00:31:55,310 --> 00:31:53,880 they get a pretty decent measurement 840 00:31:57,470 --> 00:31:55,320 actually and they're verifying that 841 00:31:59,420 --> 00:31:57,480 measurement now the problem with that 842 00:32:01,040 --> 00:31:59,430 particular measurement is that this is a 843 00:32:03,140 --> 00:32:01,050 weighting function our contribution 844 00:32:04,610 --> 00:32:03,150 function from the airs instrument and as 845 00:32:07,790 --> 00:32:04,620 you can see it's most sensitive about 846 00:32:09,860 --> 00:32:07,800 five kilometers above the surface I'm 847 00:32:12,500 --> 00:32:09,870 looking for surface sources and sinks 848 00:32:15,590 --> 00:32:12,510 this instrument provides almost no 849 00:32:18,650 --> 00:32:15,600 sensitivity to co2 near the surface by 850 00:32:22,460 --> 00:32:18,660 the time the air has traveled from here 851 00:32:25,310 --> 00:32:22,470 to here it could have moved a thousand 852 00:32:27,770 --> 00:32:25,320 kilometres away downstream abducted by 853 00:32:28,280 --> 00:32:27,780 the winds where do we see things like 854 00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:28,290 that 855 00:32:33,110 --> 00:32:30,690 my favorite visualization of this isn't 856 00:32:35,810 --> 00:32:33,120 for co2 but for carbon monoxide when 857 00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:35,820 there's a an instrument called Moffett 858 00:32:39,140 --> 00:32:37,770 that was flown back in there about six 859 00:32:41,450 --> 00:32:39,150 or seven years ago and actually eight 860 00:32:43,880 --> 00:32:41,460 years ago now I took some beautiful 861 00:32:46,540 --> 00:32:43,890 movies of this and what it shows is that 862 00:32:49,190 --> 00:32:46,550 these vast columns of carbon monoxide 863 00:32:53,180 --> 00:32:49,200 coming off of central and northern 864 00:32:55,379 --> 00:32:53,190 Arkansas what are they feeding their 865 00:32:57,310 --> 00:32:55,389 chickens 866 00:33:00,999 --> 00:32:57,320 it's really the Houston Ship Channel 867 00:33:03,340 --> 00:33:01,009 that we're seeing it's not Arkansas at 868 00:33:04,659 --> 00:33:03,350 all okay so we needed to make a 869 00:33:06,970 --> 00:33:04,669 measurement that actually was most 870 00:33:08,649 --> 00:33:06,980 sensitive near the surface we found at 871 00:33:10,090 --> 00:33:08,659 thermal emission couldn't do that for us 872 00:33:11,560 --> 00:33:10,100 because for thermal emission to work I 873 00:33:13,810 --> 00:33:11,570 needed a temperature gradient between 874 00:33:15,399 --> 00:33:13,820 the absorbing material and say the 875 00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:15,409 surface which is my thermal source in 876 00:33:18,940 --> 00:33:17,210 this particular case and there's no 877 00:33:20,950 --> 00:33:18,950 thermal gradient in the lowest in the 878 00:33:22,690 --> 00:33:20,960 thermal gradient is too small in the 879 00:33:24,249 --> 00:33:22,700 boundary layer to produce a significant 880 00:33:25,810 --> 00:33:24,259 signal so that in that co2 is 881 00:33:27,940 --> 00:33:25,820 essentially invisible to us at thermal 882 00:33:29,769 --> 00:33:27,950 wavelengths but if I use the solar 883 00:33:31,269 --> 00:33:29,779 method like the one I just described 884 00:33:32,860 --> 00:33:31,279 that's neat because it flies to the 885 00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:32,870 atmosphere and essentially bounces off 886 00:33:36,759 --> 00:33:34,610 the surface comes back up the spacecraft 887 00:33:39,850 --> 00:33:36,769 and counts every co2 molecule it 888 00:33:41,470 --> 00:33:39,860 encounters okay a little more effective 889 00:33:44,230 --> 00:33:41,480 effective and it turns out if I pick 890 00:33:46,360 --> 00:33:44,240 this particular band it's most sensitive 891 00:33:48,419 --> 00:33:46,370 right near the surface for a variety of 892 00:33:51,039 --> 00:33:48,429 reasons this one over here as well 893 00:33:52,960 --> 00:33:51,049 turned out I did originally picked this 894 00:33:54,580 --> 00:33:52,970 band and I decided and by the way I 895 00:33:55,869 --> 00:33:54,590 really need an oxygen band because I 896 00:33:58,240 --> 00:33:55,879 need to know what the surface pressure 897 00:34:00,610 --> 00:33:58,250 is very accurately and it turns out that 898 00:34:01,060 --> 00:34:00,620 this oxygen this oxygen band oxygen a 899 00:34:02,740 --> 00:34:01,070 band 900 00:34:04,480 --> 00:34:02,750 I can make surface pressure measurements 901 00:34:07,990 --> 00:34:04,490 that are accurate to about one millibar 902 00:34:09,879 --> 00:34:08,000 everywhere on the planet that is not one 903 00:34:11,710 --> 00:34:09,889 of our primary products but it's 904 00:34:13,329 --> 00:34:11,720 secondary product it could be quite 905 00:34:15,819 --> 00:34:13,339 interesting the people in another 906 00:34:18,460 --> 00:34:15,829 department here called meteorology okay 907 00:34:20,079 --> 00:34:18,470 seven million measurements a month one 908 00:34:21,730 --> 00:34:20,089 more bar accuracy around the world that 909 00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:21,740 could be interesting but I need those 910 00:34:25,329 --> 00:34:23,450 just to make a decent measurement of co2 911 00:34:27,579 --> 00:34:25,339 because turns out I don't believe their 912 00:34:28,869 --> 00:34:27,589 weather models well enough to they're 913 00:34:32,859 --> 00:34:28,879 gonna give me an accurate enough answer 914 00:34:34,990 --> 00:34:32,869 to get the co2 out so once again I need 915 00:34:36,399 --> 00:34:35,000 an oxygen ban now that oxygen ban also 916 00:34:38,349 --> 00:34:36,409 tells me what the vertical distribution 917 00:34:39,730 --> 00:34:38,359 of clouds and aerosols are in the 918 00:34:41,589 --> 00:34:39,740 atmosphere or and I care about that 919 00:34:43,180 --> 00:34:41,599 because if the photons come down and 920 00:34:44,800 --> 00:34:43,190 bounce off an aerosol layer or a cloud 921 00:34:46,300 --> 00:34:44,810 layer before they go all the way through 922 00:34:47,379 --> 00:34:46,310 the column they don't tell me the co2 923 00:34:49,720 --> 00:34:47,389 throughout the whole column 924 00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:49,730 underestimate or overestimate the co2 in 925 00:34:53,619 --> 00:34:51,530 the column by not knowing that that 926 00:34:55,930 --> 00:34:53,629 cloud was there it turns out the oxygen 927 00:34:57,880 --> 00:34:55,940 a van is very very sensitive to clouds 928 00:34:59,859 --> 00:34:57,890 and aerosols you can measure optical 929 00:35:02,710 --> 00:34:59,869 depths as small as a hundredth or so of 930 00:35:04,569 --> 00:35:02,720 a cloud or aerosol we originally had an 931 00:35:06,660 --> 00:35:04,579 a band on both the cloud SATA and 932 00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:06,670 Calypso missions they were both d scoped 933 00:35:11,560 --> 00:35:08,330 the 934 00:35:22,570 --> 00:35:11,570 a banned spectrometer was mine and it 935 00:35:24,040 --> 00:35:22,580 grew into this one yes it basically what 936 00:35:26,710 --> 00:35:24,050 happens is I measure the co2 937 00:35:29,080 --> 00:35:26,720 measurements even above every point on 938 00:35:30,370 --> 00:35:29,090 earth that I measure okay to the extent 939 00:35:31,900 --> 00:35:30,380 that I can pull out my path length 940 00:35:33,910 --> 00:35:31,910 variables I know where I'm pointing 941 00:35:35,530 --> 00:35:33,920 let's say I can actually I'm just 942 00:35:37,690 --> 00:35:35,540 counting all of them oxygen molecules so 943 00:35:39,850 --> 00:35:37,700 what I really measure isn't the surface 944 00:35:42,940 --> 00:35:39,860 pressure per se but the dry air surface 945 00:35:45,010 --> 00:35:42,950 pressure okay so I get it in some ways a 946 00:35:46,630 --> 00:35:45,020 more interesting variable but then you 947 00:35:49,930 --> 00:35:46,640 have to add water back to that to the 948 00:35:51,790 --> 00:35:49,940 total surface pressure okay so but in 949 00:35:53,650 --> 00:35:51,800 any case I had this band in this band 950 00:35:55,300 --> 00:35:53,660 actually there's a methane band right in 951 00:35:56,800 --> 00:35:55,310 here that I really really wanted to 952 00:36:00,340 --> 00:35:56,810 measure so my third channel is a methane 953 00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:00,350 Channel it's not there anymore turns out 954 00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:02,330 I ran into a problem even though this 955 00:36:07,030 --> 00:36:04,130 channel is very sensitive to clouds and 956 00:36:08,350 --> 00:36:07,040 very sensitive to aerosols and even 957 00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:08,360 though clouds are very similar between 958 00:36:12,640 --> 00:36:09,890 this wavelength of minutes wavelength 959 00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:12,650 most aerosols aren't most of them sure 960 00:36:17,350 --> 00:36:14,330 very differently they're in there 961 00:36:18,880 --> 00:36:17,360 I needed a measure of aerosols in the 962 00:36:20,230 --> 00:36:18,890 near-infrared in order to do this 963 00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:20,240 mission successfully and get decent 964 00:36:26,080 --> 00:36:22,490 numbers and I found out that if I flew 965 00:36:27,430 --> 00:36:26,090 this co2 band and the co2 band I could 966 00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:27,440 actually get an independent constraint 967 00:36:31,990 --> 00:36:29,930 on aerosols by using aerosol absorption 968 00:36:34,300 --> 00:36:32,000 or aerosols scattering in the co2 band 969 00:36:35,830 --> 00:36:34,310 how does that work well it turns out 970 00:36:38,050 --> 00:36:35,840 being an interesting corollary it turns 971 00:36:40,240 --> 00:36:38,060 out this co2 band and the co2 band 972 00:36:41,200 --> 00:36:40,250 depend on co2 very differently this one 973 00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:41,210 has about a square root dependence 974 00:36:46,240 --> 00:36:42,890 almost every one of these transitions is 975 00:36:48,940 --> 00:36:46,250 actually saturated this one has a much 976 00:36:51,580 --> 00:36:48,950 more linear dependence so I have two 977 00:36:53,590 --> 00:36:51,590 unknowns aerosol co2 I have two 978 00:36:56,020 --> 00:36:53,600 different constraints I'm get them both 979 00:36:57,640 --> 00:36:56,030 out by using both of these solving these 980 00:36:59,890 --> 00:36:57,650 bands simultaneously and this from 981 00:37:01,300 --> 00:36:59,900 simultaneously it turns out so basically 982 00:37:02,970 --> 00:37:01,310 using these three bands I get a 983 00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:02,980 measurement of the co2 concentration 984 00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:05,090 that's most sensitive near the surface 985 00:37:09,490 --> 00:37:07,610 now another thing you'll notice is that 986 00:37:11,230 --> 00:37:09,500 the actual resolution of these bands 987 00:37:13,930 --> 00:37:11,240 shown here is the resolution or an 988 00:37:15,790 --> 00:37:13,940 instrument actually gets we use a very 989 00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:15,800 very high-resolution spectrometers make 990 00:37:19,510 --> 00:37:17,450 these measurements and we use a high 991 00:37:19,890 --> 00:37:19,520 resolution spectrometer because I need 992 00:37:21,660 --> 00:37:19,900 to be 993 00:37:23,789 --> 00:37:21,670 to resolve the continuum throughout most 994 00:37:25,109 --> 00:37:23,799 of these bands because the continuum may 995 00:37:28,410 --> 00:37:25,119 see I'm measuring the area under a 996 00:37:29,640 --> 00:37:28,420 essentially back curve okay so I need to 997 00:37:31,200 --> 00:37:29,650 know where the continuum is very 998 00:37:33,299 --> 00:37:31,210 accurately to do this measurement for 999 00:37:35,309 --> 00:37:33,309 the active precision that I need turns 1000 00:37:37,230 --> 00:37:35,319 out that there's their wavelength 1001 00:37:39,000 --> 00:37:37,240 variations across these bands that I 1002 00:37:40,529 --> 00:37:39,010 need to resolve and by using this 1003 00:37:42,839 --> 00:37:40,539 resolving power I can see those 1004 00:37:44,490 --> 00:37:42,849 variations clearly enough so that I can 1005 00:37:46,319 --> 00:37:44,500 pull them out in my retrieval algorithms 1006 00:37:48,240 --> 00:37:46,329 otherwise I would be introducing 1007 00:37:50,099 --> 00:37:48,250 unacceptably large biases in the 1008 00:37:52,289 --> 00:37:50,109 measurements which would be which would 1009 00:37:54,690 --> 00:37:52,299 defeat the purpose here so once again 1010 00:37:57,269 --> 00:37:54,700 that's how I had to do it so we need to 1011 00:37:59,640 --> 00:37:57,279 make measurements at high spectral 1012 00:38:01,500 --> 00:37:59,650 resolution in these three bands and that 1013 00:38:05,279 --> 00:38:01,510 will give us the co2 measurements we 1014 00:38:06,990 --> 00:38:05,289 need now how do you do that from a from 1015 00:38:08,430 --> 00:38:07,000 a project standpoint you know how do you 1016 00:38:09,750 --> 00:38:08,440 actually put together a project to do 1017 00:38:12,180 --> 00:38:09,760 that well this just kind of shows some 1018 00:38:14,519 --> 00:38:12,190 of the players the project management I 1019 00:38:16,440 --> 00:38:14,529 chose JPL for this I'm at JPL I probably 1020 00:38:18,440 --> 00:38:16,450 could have chosen APL for that but that 1021 00:38:20,460 --> 00:38:18,450 would have made me very very popular 1022 00:38:22,980 --> 00:38:20,470 Goddard you know boy that would have 1023 00:38:24,779 --> 00:38:22,990 been fun I have an international science 1024 00:38:26,250 --> 00:38:24,789 team some of them are showing that as 1025 00:38:28,799 --> 00:38:26,260 shown there they have a science team 1026 00:38:30,299 --> 00:38:28,809 meeting that brings them all together at 1027 00:38:32,039 --> 00:38:30,309 least once a year usually during Cal 1028 00:38:33,660 --> 00:38:32,049 Tech Spring Break this is in front of 1029 00:38:39,720 --> 00:38:33,670 the Milliken library at Cal Tech on the 1030 00:38:40,950 --> 00:38:39,730 bridge nobody jumped and but then the 1031 00:38:43,950 --> 00:38:40,960 instrument was originally manufactured 1032 00:38:45,569 --> 00:38:43,960 by Hamilton Sundstrand sensor systems in 1033 00:38:48,450 --> 00:38:45,579 Pomona it's now being integrated and 1034 00:38:50,220 --> 00:38:48,460 tested at JPL I have a dedicated 1035 00:38:52,079 --> 00:38:50,230 spacecraft it's a very small spacecraft 1036 00:38:53,549 --> 00:38:52,089 once again two meters high about point 1037 00:38:54,450 --> 00:38:53,559 north four meters across you'll see more 1038 00:38:56,309 --> 00:38:54,460 about that in a moment 1039 00:38:58,200 --> 00:38:56,319 cover it carries the instrument up in 1040 00:39:00,329 --> 00:38:58,210 its upper half the whole upper half of 1041 00:39:02,190 --> 00:39:00,339 that spacecraft is the instrument it 1042 00:39:05,279 --> 00:39:02,200 launches on a small launch vehicle I 1043 00:39:07,470 --> 00:39:05,289 want to emphasize small it's about this 1044 00:39:09,120 --> 00:39:07,480 long it would lie in here quite easily 1045 00:39:11,700 --> 00:39:09,130 we could walk around it I could give my 1046 00:39:14,870 --> 00:39:11,710 talk in front of it it's a small launch 1047 00:39:18,779 --> 00:39:14,880 bit it's like a think of a bottle rocket 1048 00:39:20,490 --> 00:39:18,789 this launch is about that fast to see 1049 00:39:23,220 --> 00:39:20,500 this little guy right there it used to 1050 00:39:25,049 --> 00:39:23,230 be called an MX missile see that thing 1051 00:39:26,849 --> 00:39:25,059 right there you've heard of the Pegasus 1052 00:39:28,019 --> 00:39:26,859 it's that winged spacecraft they launch 1053 00:39:30,450 --> 00:39:28,029 from underneath the wing of an airplane 1054 00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:30,460 that's what that is you match them two 1055 00:39:33,090 --> 00:39:32,170 together and you get a Taurus that's 1056 00:39:34,770 --> 00:39:33,100 what we're launching 1057 00:39:37,920 --> 00:39:34,780 as you'll see in a moment we launched 1058 00:39:39,930 --> 00:39:37,930 into a low Earth orbit six or seven oh 1059 00:39:41,370 --> 00:39:39,940 five kilometers near polar we 1060 00:39:43,950 --> 00:39:41,380 communicate down to the NASA ground 1061 00:39:47,100 --> 00:39:43,960 network that's the poker flat station 1062 00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:47,110 okay we have a launch nominally a year 1063 00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:48,370 from Christmas 1064 00:39:54,030 --> 00:39:51,370 basically December 15 2008 is our launch 1065 00:39:55,860 --> 00:39:54,040 readiness date we launch at 3 a.m. in 1066 00:39:57,840 --> 00:39:55,870 order to move into something called the 1067 00:39:59,640 --> 00:39:57,850 EOS afternoon constellation see that at 1068 00:40:02,100 --> 00:39:59,650 the moment the nominal mission is only 1069 00:40:04,800 --> 00:40:02,110 two years long that's when my money runs 1070 00:40:06,660 --> 00:40:04,810 out I have to pay for all aspects of 1071 00:40:09,570 --> 00:40:06,670 this mission all of these components and 1072 00:40:10,860 --> 00:40:09,580 I run out of money after two years at 1073 00:40:12,720 --> 00:40:10,870 the end of that time I can go back to 1074 00:40:14,970 --> 00:40:12,730 NASA headquarters if I have an operating 1075 00:40:17,490 --> 00:40:14,980 mission and say I'd like an extension 1076 00:40:19,260 --> 00:40:17,500 I've got an operating satellite here I 1077 00:40:20,280 --> 00:40:19,270 need this much more to keep it up there 1078 00:40:22,710 --> 00:40:20,290 keep it going 1079 00:40:24,840 --> 00:40:22,720 there are the only Expendables onboard 1080 00:40:26,880 --> 00:40:24,850 of the fuel I used two for maintaining 1081 00:40:30,750 --> 00:40:26,890 my orbit that could last for up to 10 1082 00:40:32,850 --> 00:40:30,760 years the other issue is though this is 1083 00:40:35,250 --> 00:40:32,860 a weekly single string spacecraft 1084 00:40:37,800 --> 00:40:35,260 it carries a mostly single string 1085 00:40:38,520 --> 00:40:37,810 instrument so we don't know how long 1086 00:40:41,100 --> 00:40:38,530 it's gonna last 1087 00:40:42,900 --> 00:40:41,110 I've had one of these last 14 years on 1088 00:40:44,130 --> 00:40:42,910 this reason let's look at the 1089 00:40:45,660 --> 00:40:44,140 spectrometer and learn a little bit 1090 00:40:47,700 --> 00:40:45,670 about how actually one would build a 1091 00:40:49,380 --> 00:40:47,710 spectrometer for flight like this I want 1092 00:40:50,820 --> 00:40:49,390 to I want to emphasize that once again 1093 00:40:53,130 --> 00:40:50,830 I'm measuring these particular spectral 1094 00:40:54,990 --> 00:40:53,140 ranges these particular spectral bands 1095 00:40:57,330 --> 00:40:55,000 I've gone with a system that's the 1096 00:40:59,400 --> 00:40:57,340 simplest kind of spectrometer I could 1097 00:41:01,170 --> 00:40:59,410 build and probably what I hope to be the 1098 00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:01,180 most robust kind of spectrometer I can 1099 00:41:06,120 --> 00:41:03,850 build for this application it's a simple 1100 00:41:07,860 --> 00:41:06,130 plane grating spectrometer which is 1101 00:41:09,390 --> 00:41:07,870 probably not very different than the 1102 00:41:11,190 --> 00:41:09,400 very first spectrometer you put together 1103 00:41:15,350 --> 00:41:11,200 in physics lab if you ever had to do 1104 00:41:19,640 --> 00:41:17,630 it's uh it turns out being a bit of a 1105 00:41:22,310 --> 00:41:19,650 challenge but only because it has to fly 1106 00:41:24,100 --> 00:41:22,320 in space and stay together in a line and 1107 00:41:26,240 --> 00:41:24,110 because it has a few other little 1108 00:41:28,220 --> 00:41:26,250 characteristics a tie I had to go and 1109 00:41:30,020 --> 00:41:28,230 make it hard basic that's what my team 1110 00:41:32,240 --> 00:41:30,030 keeps telling me but basic is very 1111 00:41:34,010 --> 00:41:32,250 simple system we have a telescope up 1112 00:41:36,020 --> 00:41:34,020 here runs to a set of relay optics 1113 00:41:38,240 --> 00:41:36,030 that's part of the hard part it goes to 1114 00:41:39,710 --> 00:41:38,250 a slit the relay optics actually makes 1115 00:41:41,210 --> 00:41:39,720 sure that all three channels are looking 1116 00:41:43,970 --> 00:41:41,220 at about the same real estate on the 1117 00:41:45,260 --> 00:41:43,980 earth at the same time ok and maintains 1118 00:41:48,290 --> 00:41:45,270 that through things like launch 1119 00:41:51,740 --> 00:41:48,300 vibration loads and and in life on orbit 1120 00:41:53,540 --> 00:41:51,750 so the telescope is a is a enough 1.8 1121 00:41:55,820 --> 00:41:53,550 telescope it's an incredibly fast 1122 00:41:58,550 --> 00:41:55,830 telescope for a spectrometer and this 1123 00:42:00,350 --> 00:41:58,560 entire spectrometer is an incredibly 1124 00:42:02,180 --> 00:42:00,360 fast system reason for that is that I 1125 00:42:04,580 --> 00:42:02,190 wanted to take very short exposures I 1126 00:42:05,900 --> 00:42:04,590 want a decent signal to noise I didn't 1127 00:42:07,880 --> 00:42:05,910 have any choice in the matter so this 1128 00:42:10,270 --> 00:42:07,890 thing is optically very fast which means 1129 00:42:13,730 --> 00:42:10,280 that we measure our tolerances in 1130 00:42:16,100 --> 00:42:13,740 microns and I don't mean tens of microns 1131 00:42:19,460 --> 00:42:16,110 millionths of a meter I'm talking about 1132 00:42:22,580 --> 00:42:19,470 onesies and twosies so the width of a 1133 00:42:24,530 --> 00:42:22,590 human hair is an enormous ly large 1134 00:42:27,440 --> 00:42:24,540 distance for some of the tolerances on 1135 00:42:29,300 --> 00:42:27,450 this thing ok that's what I had to go 1136 00:42:31,280 --> 00:42:29,310 and make it hard but other than that hey 1137 00:42:33,320 --> 00:42:31,290 it's a thin slit it's actually 25 1138 00:42:35,690 --> 00:42:33,330 microns wide about as wide as a very 1139 00:42:37,700 --> 00:42:35,700 thin human hair it expands into a 1140 00:42:39,290 --> 00:42:37,710 collimator it's just the two element 1141 00:42:40,760 --> 00:42:39,300 collimators alone lens there one lens 1142 00:42:43,250 --> 00:42:40,770 there comes down bounces off of a 1143 00:42:44,780 --> 00:42:43,260 grading the a band has 2,100 grooves for 1144 00:42:46,490 --> 00:42:44,790 a millimeter think about that for a 1145 00:42:48,290 --> 00:42:46,500 moment the other two channels are about 1146 00:42:50,060 --> 00:42:48,300 a thousand groups per millimeter these 1147 00:42:52,640 --> 00:42:50,070 are standard holographic gratings made 1148 00:42:55,540 --> 00:42:52,650 by jy in France they did a wonderful job 1149 00:42:58,220 --> 00:42:55,550 for us they're about this big ok 1150 00:43:01,090 --> 00:42:58,230 beautiful pieces of work this is a 1151 00:43:03,170 --> 00:43:01,100 camera it focuses the light on a 1152 00:43:04,700 --> 00:43:03,180 solid-state imaging detector very 1153 00:43:06,470 --> 00:43:04,710 similar to the CCDs you have in a 1154 00:43:07,730 --> 00:43:06,480 handheld camera except this one's a 1155 00:43:11,540 --> 00:43:07,740 little bit more sensitive to infrared 1156 00:43:12,950 --> 00:43:11,550 light and your average ccd other aspects 1157 00:43:14,390 --> 00:43:12,960 we cooled as a whole-body the 1158 00:43:16,160 --> 00:43:14,400 spectrometer this is the spectrometer 1159 00:43:18,710 --> 00:43:16,170 all packaged up here we cool the whole 1160 00:43:20,300 --> 00:43:18,720 body down to about zero degrees C just 1161 00:43:22,250 --> 00:43:20,310 about 30 degrees below the ambient 1162 00:43:24,140 --> 00:43:22,260 temperature because in the two micron 1163 00:43:25,039 --> 00:43:24,150 channel thermal noise from the inside 1164 00:43:26,659 --> 00:43:25,049 the thermal emission 1165 00:43:28,789 --> 00:43:26,669 inside the instruments of principle 1166 00:43:30,380 --> 00:43:28,799 noise source for this so we cool it down 1167 00:43:32,299 --> 00:43:30,390 enough to keep that a problem 1168 00:43:34,279 --> 00:43:32,309 we basically radiate out to space with 1169 00:43:39,279 --> 00:43:34,289 radiators here the detectors are cooled 1170 00:43:41,599 --> 00:43:39,289 down to minus 180 and minus 120 1171 00:43:45,079 --> 00:43:41,609 - Kelvin 1172 00:43:47,509 --> 00:43:45,089 RC - on will see for the co2 band very 1173 00:43:49,909 --> 00:43:47,519 cold we use a pulse tube cryocooler for 1174 00:43:53,389 --> 00:43:49,919 that that's this big hunk of stuff over 1175 00:43:53,929 --> 00:43:53,399 on this side that was a flight spare I 1176 00:43:55,399 --> 00:43:53,939 got it 1177 00:43:56,539 --> 00:43:55,409 for you not free of charge that only 1178 00:44:00,079 --> 00:43:56,549 cost me about two and a half million 1179 00:44:03,649 --> 00:44:00,089 bucks from the the the tropospheric 1180 00:44:06,159 --> 00:44:03,659 emission spectrometer a project free of 1181 00:44:08,479 --> 00:44:06,169 charge never works in the space missions 1182 00:44:10,819 --> 00:44:08,489 gives you an idea of its overall 1183 00:44:12,469 --> 00:44:10,829 structure its overall status we're still 1184 00:44:13,819 --> 00:44:12,479 putting it together we've made some 1185 00:44:16,759 --> 00:44:13,829 measurements already as you'll see in a 1186 00:44:17,719 --> 00:44:16,769 moment and in order to focus the 1187 00:44:19,459 --> 00:44:17,729 instrument but it's still being 1188 00:44:20,959 --> 00:44:19,469 assembled for flight it's about to go 1189 00:44:25,729 --> 00:44:20,969 through its flight qualification program 1190 00:44:27,799 --> 00:44:25,739 it's already soft first light this is 1191 00:44:29,599 --> 00:44:27,809 our spacecraft once again little box 1192 00:44:33,289 --> 00:44:29,609 about this PEX Ottoman is agonal shaped 1193 00:44:34,879 --> 00:44:33,299 box about this tall and as you can see 1194 00:44:36,109 --> 00:44:34,889 it's packed like a Swiss watch it is 1195 00:44:37,999 --> 00:44:36,119 absolutely just filled with equipment 1196 00:44:39,829 --> 00:44:38,009 and there's that spectrometer I was just 1197 00:44:41,209 --> 00:44:39,839 showing you taking up the whole top end 1198 00:44:43,429 --> 00:44:41,219 of the thing this is what we were 1199 00:44:45,289 --> 00:44:43,439 calling science craft back in the 90s 1200 00:44:46,999 --> 00:44:45,299 basically it's a spacecraft that carries 1201 00:44:48,679 --> 00:44:47,009 a single instrument and half of the 1202 00:44:50,059 --> 00:44:48,689 spacecraft is the instrument the 1203 00:44:51,649 --> 00:44:50,069 instrument the spacecraft actually 1204 00:44:53,419 --> 00:44:51,659 points the instrument in order to avoid 1205 00:44:55,189 --> 00:44:53,429 a couple of million dollar pointing 1206 00:44:56,749 --> 00:44:55,199 mechanism well I already had a pointing 1207 00:44:58,399 --> 00:44:56,759 mechanism it was a reaction wheel of the 1208 00:44:59,749 --> 00:44:58,409 point spacecraft I just said let the 1209 00:45:00,919 --> 00:44:59,759 spacecraft point the instruments the 1210 00:45:02,799 --> 00:45:00,929 only instrument on board 1211 00:45:05,989 --> 00:45:02,809 I owned a tiny point where I want it 1212 00:45:08,719 --> 00:45:05,999 gosh I wish it was that simple in any 1213 00:45:10,429 --> 00:45:08,729 case we enclose the instrument in the 1214 00:45:11,839 --> 00:45:10,439 spacecraft bus just mainly for thermal 1215 00:45:13,669 --> 00:45:11,849 stability this thing goes in and out of 1216 00:45:15,620 --> 00:45:13,679 the shadow of the earth every hundred 1217 00:45:17,389 --> 00:45:15,630 minutes and the thermal load on the 1218 00:45:19,819 --> 00:45:17,399 system would set my spectrometer out of 1219 00:45:24,199 --> 00:45:19,829 focus so put it inside the space back 1220 00:45:26,629 --> 00:45:24,209 okay that's my launch vehicle it's my 1221 00:45:28,279 --> 00:45:26,639 ride in spacecraft sitting up here this 1222 00:45:29,779 --> 00:45:28,289 is the rest of the launch vehicle it 1223 00:45:32,269 --> 00:45:29,789 launches from what looks like a milk 1224 00:45:33,769 --> 00:45:32,279 stool this is not the most glorious 1225 00:45:36,290 --> 00:45:33,779 launch you've ever seen but they don't 1226 00:45:38,780 --> 00:45:36,300 get us that this is in orbit this is a 1227 00:45:41,420 --> 00:45:38,790 couple of earlier once launches like we 1228 00:45:42,800 --> 00:45:41,430 have we're gonna fly and something 1229 00:45:44,420 --> 00:45:42,810 called the Earth observing system 1230 00:45:46,130 --> 00:45:44,430 afternoon constellation this is a 1231 00:45:49,100 --> 00:45:46,140 constellation of spacecraft that flies 1232 00:45:52,730 --> 00:45:49,110 into 705 kilometer orbit with a about a 1233 00:45:54,410 --> 00:45:52,740 1:30 p.m. ascending equator crossing 1234 00:45:55,820 --> 00:45:54,420 time so the plants are basically the 1235 00:45:57,710 --> 00:45:55,830 satellites going around the earth the 1236 00:45:58,970 --> 00:45:57,720 earth is turning under the satellite so 1237 00:46:00,200 --> 00:45:58,980 the satellite is oh and there's the Sun 1238 00:46:01,550 --> 00:46:00,210 over there so it's always seeing the 1239 00:46:03,170 --> 00:46:01,560 same time of day everywhere on the earth 1240 00:46:05,600 --> 00:46:03,180 as the Earth turns underneath it 1241 00:46:07,850 --> 00:46:05,610 ok that's what's going on here the orbit 1242 00:46:09,740 --> 00:46:07,860 altitude is 705 kilometres orbit period 1243 00:46:13,250 --> 00:46:09,750 is 100 minutes we do about fourteen 1244 00:46:13,970 --> 00:46:13,260 point six five orbits a day okay right 1245 00:46:18,050 --> 00:46:13,980 behind us 1246 00:46:20,060 --> 00:46:18,060 the same orbit track following the same 1247 00:46:22,130 --> 00:46:20,070 orbit track is the Aqua spacecraft this 1248 00:46:23,270 --> 00:46:22,140 is a giant boxcar sized spacecraft 1249 00:46:24,680 --> 00:46:23,280 filled with instruments including the 1250 00:46:27,140 --> 00:46:24,690 airs instrument I already mentioned and 1251 00:46:29,030 --> 00:46:27,150 the MODIS instrument behind that about 1252 00:46:30,950 --> 00:46:29,040 30 seconds a minute behind that we have 1253 00:46:32,480 --> 00:46:30,960 the cloud sat and Calypso spacecraft 1254 00:46:33,950 --> 00:46:32,490 these are in a really tight formation 1255 00:46:35,630 --> 00:46:33,960 this one measures clouds this one 1256 00:46:38,420 --> 00:46:35,640 measures air assaults using a lidar this 1257 00:46:39,740 --> 00:46:38,430 one uses in 94 gigahertz radar fine now 1258 00:46:41,540 --> 00:46:39,750 we have an instrument called Paris Auto 1259 00:46:43,790 --> 00:46:41,550 spacecraft called parasol small 1260 00:46:46,370 --> 00:46:43,800 spacecraft small French Michael Sam 1261 00:46:47,840 --> 00:46:46,380 makes polarimetric measurements behind 1262 00:46:49,760 --> 00:46:47,850 that we have the glory mission which I 1263 00:46:52,070 --> 00:46:49,770 oriented the wrong way so I apologize 1264 00:46:53,420 --> 00:46:52,080 for anybody in the audience who's a part 1265 00:46:56,230 --> 00:46:53,430 of this mission they didn't tell me 1266 00:47:00,620 --> 00:46:56,240 which their way their instrument pointed 1267 00:47:02,300 --> 00:47:00,630 in any case and then the the spacecraft 1268 00:47:04,550 --> 00:47:02,310 which has mostly stratospheric 1269 00:47:06,200 --> 00:47:04,560 monitoring instruments on board these 1270 00:47:07,940 --> 00:47:06,210 wings humans all cover about the same 1271 00:47:10,040 --> 00:47:07,950 ground track just a few minutes apart 1272 00:47:11,210 --> 00:47:10,050 this is a virtual platform so that all 1273 00:47:17,770 --> 00:47:11,220 these instruments can make measurements 1274 00:47:25,249 --> 00:47:21,050 actually Ora's ways back the orbit is 1275 00:47:31,829 --> 00:47:28,739 midday is good it turns out that if you 1276 00:47:33,929 --> 00:47:31,839 want to be an about this orbit it's best 1277 00:47:35,189 --> 00:47:33,939 to be in the orbit and not where you 1278 00:47:36,870 --> 00:47:35,199 might be interacting with other 1279 00:47:39,089 --> 00:47:36,880 spacecraft it turns out that the thing 1280 00:47:40,679 --> 00:47:39,099 that limits where we are in the orbit we 1281 00:47:42,329 --> 00:47:40,689 can't go any farther forward otherwise 1282 00:47:44,489 --> 00:47:42,339 we bump into the terrace spacecraft 1283 00:47:47,039 --> 00:47:44,499 which is also in a seminal 5 kilometer 1284 00:47:49,529 --> 00:47:47,049 orbit this this is a this covers a very 1285 00:47:51,329 --> 00:47:49,539 special track called wrs 2 which is the 1286 00:47:53,219 --> 00:47:51,339 track followed by initially the Landsat 1287 00:47:55,289 --> 00:47:53,229 satellites and now most of the NASA 1288 00:47:56,849 --> 00:47:55,299 buses and so what we try to do is try to 1289 00:47:58,289 --> 00:47:56,859 keep them in the same orbit the nice 1290 00:48:00,029 --> 00:47:58,299 thing about this orbit is there's an 1291 00:48:02,130 --> 00:48:00,039 organization that actually manages where 1292 00:48:03,900 --> 00:48:02,140 the spacecraft are so even if you lose 1293 00:48:13,529 --> 00:48:03,910 control of your spacecraft and knowledge 1294 00:48:15,870 --> 00:48:13,539 of where it is NORAD will tell you helps 1295 00:48:20,939 --> 00:48:15,880 this is just a very popular polar orbit 1296 00:48:22,259 --> 00:48:20,949 it turns out that orbit special it 1297 00:48:23,880 --> 00:48:22,269 actually takes a certain amount of 1298 00:48:26,759 --> 00:48:23,890 effort to get into this orbit at this 1299 00:48:28,919 --> 00:48:26,769 point so crowded I really wanted the the 1300 00:48:30,749 --> 00:48:28,929 advantage of having a motive sitting 1301 00:48:32,729 --> 00:48:30,759 right behind me Aires sitting right 1302 00:48:34,469 --> 00:48:32,739 behind me so we buying the data and 1303 00:48:35,669 --> 00:48:34,479 these two guys are still working they 1304 00:48:37,829 --> 00:48:35,679 went up last May and they're both 1305 00:48:39,299 --> 00:48:37,839 working like a charm right now if 1306 00:48:41,640 --> 00:48:39,309 they're still operating when we get up 1307 00:48:43,169 --> 00:48:41,650 there it'd be just fantastic because I 1308 00:48:45,390 --> 00:48:43,179 could use the cloud Narus all data that 1309 00:48:48,630 --> 00:48:45,400 they're collecting just minutes after I 1310 00:48:50,910 --> 00:48:48,640 pass to in my retrieval algorithms and 1311 00:48:52,620 --> 00:48:50,920 boy does that make life easy otherwise 1312 00:48:54,539 --> 00:48:52,630 it's an unmitigated nightmare but that's 1313 00:48:57,209 --> 00:48:54,549 another issue I'll get to that in just a 1314 00:48:58,859 --> 00:48:57,219 moment okay here we are this is 1315 00:49:00,870 --> 00:48:58,869 something about the actual measurement 1316 00:49:02,579 --> 00:49:00,880 strategy there are three ways that we 1317 00:49:04,349 --> 00:49:02,589 measure with this satellite the simplest 1318 00:49:05,849 --> 00:49:04,359 way is to look straight down as we fly 1319 00:49:07,259 --> 00:49:05,859 along a little bit path we look right 1320 00:49:08,519 --> 00:49:07,269 down at the orbit track right underneath 1321 00:49:10,859 --> 00:49:08,529 the satellite that's called nadir 1322 00:49:13,259 --> 00:49:10,869 observations and it gives us our highest 1323 00:49:15,269 --> 00:49:13,269 spatial resolution you know along the 1324 00:49:17,009 --> 00:49:15,279 path this is what the actual spatial 1325 00:49:24,569 --> 00:49:17,019 resolution is is anybody recognize this 1326 00:49:26,370 --> 00:49:24,579 area hmm this San Francisco that's the 1327 00:49:28,890 --> 00:49:26,380 Golden Gate Bridge this is a Google map 1328 00:49:30,179 --> 00:49:28,900 I'll have to in any case what we do in 1329 00:49:31,769 --> 00:49:30,189 every one of these boxes we do 1330 00:49:34,559 --> 00:49:31,779 correlated measurements of all three 1331 00:49:36,300 --> 00:49:34,569 bands it's basically 2.25 kilometers 1332 00:49:37,920 --> 00:49:36,310 long in 1.2 1333 00:49:39,690 --> 00:49:37,930 kilometers wide that's a third of a 1334 00:49:41,460 --> 00:49:39,700 second along an orbit track going seven 1335 00:49:43,050 --> 00:49:41,470 kilometers per second that's my exposure 1336 00:49:44,760 --> 00:49:43,060 time and that's about the highest 1337 00:49:48,090 --> 00:49:44,770 resolution I could actually get any 1338 00:49:50,250 --> 00:49:48,100 decent signal enough signal noise is 1339 00:49:52,500 --> 00:49:50,260 typically about 200-300 in the channel 1340 00:49:55,230 --> 00:49:52,510 for a single observation but that that 1341 00:49:56,880 --> 00:49:55,240 size but footprint why do I have such 1342 00:49:59,340 --> 00:49:56,890 smaller footprints for an atmospheric 1343 00:50:00,570 --> 00:49:59,350 instrument I mean let's face it the 1344 00:50:02,730 --> 00:50:00,580 atmospheric footprint is enormous 1345 00:50:03,990 --> 00:50:02,740 because it's the Sun coming in bouncing 1346 00:50:06,150 --> 00:50:04,000 off the surface going up the spacecraft 1347 00:50:09,200 --> 00:50:06,160 it's a big footprint why if I had why do 1348 00:50:16,500 --> 00:50:09,210 I have such a small surface footprint 1349 00:50:17,790 --> 00:50:16,510 hmm simpler see these guys if I can't 1350 00:50:19,650 --> 00:50:17,800 see all of a certain way to the surface 1351 00:50:20,040 --> 00:50:19,660 I can't measure co2 all the way to the 1352 00:50:22,110 --> 00:50:20,050 surface 1353 00:50:23,910 --> 00:50:22,120 the smaller the footprint the larger 1354 00:50:26,460 --> 00:50:23,920 number of cloud free scenes I can pick 1355 00:50:28,650 --> 00:50:26,470 up even in cloud fields we went and did 1356 00:50:31,260 --> 00:50:28,660 all the cloud studies we could determine 1357 00:50:33,420 --> 00:50:31,270 that and we picked this as a compromise 1358 00:50:36,990 --> 00:50:33,430 between what we could do and what we 1359 00:50:39,360 --> 00:50:37,000 needed to do so in any case we get lots 1360 00:50:42,270 --> 00:50:39,370 and lots of measurements we get about at 1361 00:50:44,460 --> 00:50:42,280 about 28% of the earth is cloud free at 1362 00:50:47,520 --> 00:50:44,470 this resolving power and for the spatial 1363 00:50:49,460 --> 00:50:47,530 resolution unfortunately that's a that's 1364 00:50:51,720 --> 00:50:49,470 erroneous because it turns out that 1365 00:50:54,180 --> 00:50:51,730 large amount large parts of the earth 1366 00:50:55,590 --> 00:50:54,190 are cloudy ahold all the time in other 1367 00:50:57,360 --> 00:50:55,600 parts of the earth are clear all the 1368 00:50:58,980 --> 00:50:57,370 time and I won't get credit for those 1369 00:51:01,260 --> 00:50:58,990 but in any case about on the average 1370 00:51:03,030 --> 00:51:01,270 about 10% of the earth on regional 1371 00:51:05,460 --> 00:51:03,040 scales can be picked up by this guy on 1372 00:51:05,820 --> 00:51:05,470 16 day intervals that was what we were 1373 00:51:07,560 --> 00:51:05,830 after 1374 00:51:10,280 --> 00:51:07,570 now that works just fine and native 1375 00:51:12,780 --> 00:51:10,290 observations have a lot about a lot of 1376 00:51:14,700 --> 00:51:12,790 advantages mainly because they're easy 1377 00:51:16,470 --> 00:51:14,710 to operate you just tell the spacecraft 1378 00:51:19,580 --> 00:51:16,480 fly you can program the thing ahead of 1379 00:51:23,190 --> 00:51:19,590 time block away unfortunately 1380 00:51:26,670 --> 00:51:23,200 the ocean is much blacker than it's even 1381 00:51:28,320 --> 00:51:26,680 shown here in the co2 channels and if no 1382 00:51:30,990 --> 00:51:28,330 sunlight bounces off the ocean I don't 1383 00:51:32,790 --> 00:51:31,000 get any signal so that's really very 1384 00:51:36,540 --> 00:51:32,800 good over land it turns out but not so 1385 00:51:38,400 --> 00:51:36,550 good over the ocean so I actually would 1386 00:51:39,780 --> 00:51:38,410 like to map the planned always looking 1387 00:51:41,190 --> 00:51:39,790 down because I have topographic 1388 00:51:44,160 --> 00:51:41,200 variations and everything else where a 1389 00:51:45,780 --> 00:51:44,170 small foot would be optimal but I'd like 1390 00:51:47,640 --> 00:51:45,790 to map the earth the ocean out using 1391 00:51:49,800 --> 00:51:47,650 limb looking at the glint spot because 1392 00:51:51,420 --> 00:51:49,810 that's what brighter 1393 00:51:53,010 --> 00:51:51,430 well because the spacecraft turns the 1394 00:51:54,540 --> 00:51:53,020 instrument and it doesn't turn very fast 1395 00:51:56,370 --> 00:51:54,550 and everything else I really can't do 1396 00:51:58,560 --> 00:51:56,380 that but I can map the whole earth up in 1397 00:52:00,690 --> 00:51:58,570 glint mode and then follow it by mapping 1398 00:52:03,360 --> 00:52:00,700 the whole earth up in mater mode in 1399 00:52:04,080 --> 00:52:03,370 alternate 16-day global repeat cycles so 1400 00:52:06,660 --> 00:52:04,090 that's what I do 1401 00:52:08,520 --> 00:52:06,670 I basically alternate between nadir and 1402 00:52:10,290 --> 00:52:08,530 glint determinants measurements over the 1403 00:52:10,920 --> 00:52:10,300 ocean and glint mode better measurements 1404 00:52:13,620 --> 00:52:10,930 over land 1405 00:52:15,660 --> 00:52:13,630 typically in nadir mode and we get those 1406 00:52:16,920 --> 00:52:15,670 on half monthly intervals we put them 1407 00:52:18,660 --> 00:52:16,930 all together the other thing we can do 1408 00:52:19,950 --> 00:52:18,670 is look for systematic biases between 1409 00:52:22,020 --> 00:52:19,960 those two different measurement styles 1410 00:52:23,370 --> 00:52:22,030 because they each have systematic biases 1411 00:52:26,670 --> 00:52:23,380 and we've been determined that's another 1412 00:52:28,500 --> 00:52:26,680 way we can validate the experiment so we 1413 00:52:29,820 --> 00:52:28,510 do these about half the time those about 1414 00:52:32,690 --> 00:52:29,830 half the time switching back and forth 1415 00:52:34,950 --> 00:52:32,700 between alternate 16 day repeat cycles 1416 00:52:36,720 --> 00:52:34,960 there's another little trick that we ran 1417 00:52:38,640 --> 00:52:36,730 into that we didn't anticipate earlier 1418 00:52:40,440 --> 00:52:38,650 we actually have to fly in something 1419 00:52:42,690 --> 00:52:40,450 called a principle plane so that the Sun 1420 00:52:44,640 --> 00:52:42,700 the surface point and the satellites 1421 00:52:47,730 --> 00:52:44,650 that actually have to remain in the same 1422 00:52:51,570 --> 00:52:47,740 plane all the time and the reason for 1423 00:52:53,460 --> 00:52:51,580 that and the the the the suit has to be 1424 00:52:55,340 --> 00:52:53,470 oriented orthogonal to that plane that's 1425 00:52:59,070 --> 00:52:55,350 because the spectrometer turns how 1426 00:53:01,530 --> 00:52:59,080 polarizes perfect human planes it's a 1427 00:53:03,990 --> 00:53:01,540 perfect polarization analyzer and so if 1428 00:53:06,270 --> 00:53:04,000 we fly in this mode what this does is 1429 00:53:08,550 --> 00:53:06,280 give us the the axis of the polarization 1430 00:53:10,200 --> 00:53:08,560 ellipse it's not attenuated by surface 1431 00:53:12,480 --> 00:53:10,210 reflectance when we take that pretty 1432 00:53:14,100 --> 00:53:12,490 much out of the equation I was a 1433 00:53:15,510 --> 00:53:14,110 challenge we ran into by the way the 1434 00:53:17,460 --> 00:53:15,520 spacecraft people are usually complain 1435 00:53:18,930 --> 00:53:17,470 when we do that because it causes evil 1436 00:53:20,640 --> 00:53:18,940 things to happen with the spacecraft and 1437 00:53:22,830 --> 00:53:20,650 they have to work harder they actually 1438 00:53:26,030 --> 00:53:22,840 ask for this change because the solar 1439 00:53:28,620 --> 00:53:26,040 panels get more sunlight in this mode so 1440 00:53:30,030 --> 00:53:28,630 go figure this is what the actual 1441 00:53:31,670 --> 00:53:30,040 measurements look like I make 1442 00:53:33,870 --> 00:53:31,680 measurements along narrow paths 1443 00:53:36,090 --> 00:53:33,880 separated by quite a lot of distance 1444 00:53:37,770 --> 00:53:36,100 adjacent paths after a 16 day global 1445 00:53:39,900 --> 00:53:37,780 repeat cycle the adjacent paths are 1446 00:53:42,960 --> 00:53:39,910 separated by a degree and a half of 1447 00:53:45,420 --> 00:53:42,970 longitude it's about 150 hundred 20 1448 00:53:46,710 --> 00:53:45,430 kilometers at the equator okay I'm sorry 1449 00:53:48,900 --> 00:53:46,720 about hundred fifty kilometers at the 1450 00:53:50,460 --> 00:53:48,910 equator so there's quite a bit of 1451 00:53:52,290 --> 00:53:50,470 distance and the cross track swath is 1452 00:53:53,760 --> 00:53:52,300 only ten kilometers wide as I showed in 1453 00:53:55,530 --> 00:53:53,770 the previous slide to forgot to mention 1454 00:53:56,850 --> 00:53:55,540 that so I don't really measure every 1455 00:53:58,980 --> 00:53:56,860 square inch of the earth with this thing 1456 00:54:00,990 --> 00:53:58,990 but remember this is an atmospheric 1457 00:54:03,060 --> 00:54:01,000 measurement and the co2 actually gets 1458 00:54:05,190 --> 00:54:03,070 dispersed over quite a large area 1459 00:54:06,990 --> 00:54:05,200 the time it's transported through the 1460 00:54:08,670 --> 00:54:07,000 column and so we do actually get a 1461 00:54:10,920 --> 00:54:08,680 measurement of none of the stuff that's 1462 00:54:12,780 --> 00:54:10,930 going to get away kind of column we'll 1463 00:54:15,330 --> 00:54:12,790 see it wherever it goes that works out 1464 00:54:16,920 --> 00:54:15,340 pretty well we make a lot of 1465 00:54:20,010 --> 00:54:16,930 measurements as shown here we measure 1466 00:54:23,010 --> 00:54:20,020 from plus or minus 75 degrees solar 1467 00:54:25,110 --> 00:54:23,020 Zenith angle and went mode and 85 1468 00:54:27,390 --> 00:54:25,120 degrees in nadir mode that covers most 1469 00:54:30,180 --> 00:54:27,400 of the sunlit hemisphere of your we take 1470 00:54:34,470 --> 00:54:30,190 200 and 400 samples per second as we fly 1471 00:54:36,420 --> 00:54:34,480 over per degree of latitude sorry 12:24 1472 00:54:38,520 --> 00:54:36,430 samples per second or 200 to 400 samples 1473 00:54:40,800 --> 00:54:38,530 per degree of latitude as we fly over we 1474 00:54:42,750 --> 00:54:40,810 get a lot of data so once again we're 1475 00:54:46,920 --> 00:54:42,760 trying to pull out those cloud precincts 1476 00:54:48,630 --> 00:54:46,930 it's the main reason now there's another 1477 00:54:50,460 --> 00:54:48,640 kind of mode that we use that I didn't 1478 00:54:52,410 --> 00:54:50,470 mention that's for making for 1479 00:54:53,880 --> 00:54:52,420 calibrations in validation of the 1480 00:54:55,770 --> 00:54:53,890 measurement this is called target track 1481 00:55:00,690 --> 00:54:55,780 we can actually look at let's see if I 1482 00:55:02,910 --> 00:55:00,700 practice we have to look at an isolated 1483 00:55:05,400 --> 00:55:02,920 surface target and scan the slit over 1484 00:55:07,320 --> 00:55:05,410 that target as we fly over essentially 1485 00:55:09,030 --> 00:55:07,330 going limb to limb getting measurements 1486 00:55:11,460 --> 00:55:09,040 over a very wide range of optical path 1487 00:55:13,350 --> 00:55:11,470 mix as we fly over and scanning it up 1488 00:55:15,330 --> 00:55:13,360 getting about 14,000 measurements over 1489 00:55:16,860 --> 00:55:15,340 that site typically these sites are 1490 00:55:18,300 --> 00:55:16,870 ground-based validation sites that 1491 00:55:20,250 --> 00:55:18,310 include towers where make that are 1492 00:55:22,140 --> 00:55:20,260 making routine measurements of co2 as 1493 00:55:24,180 --> 00:55:22,150 well as flask measurements we've also 1494 00:55:25,830 --> 00:55:24,190 developed a new technology which is an 1495 00:55:27,330 --> 00:55:25,840 up looking for a transform spectrometer 1496 00:55:28,860 --> 00:55:27,340 this is a very very high resolution 1497 00:55:31,170 --> 00:55:28,870 spectrometer sitting on the ground 1498 00:55:33,570 --> 00:55:31,180 looking directly at the Sun along that 1499 00:55:35,310 --> 00:55:33,580 part of our path okay so it basically 1500 00:55:37,020 --> 00:55:35,320 sees the same path we do with a 1501 00:55:38,940 --> 00:55:37,030 measurement that gets 10 times the 1502 00:55:41,850 --> 00:55:38,950 resolving power 10 times the signal 1503 00:55:43,290 --> 00:55:41,860 noise of the spacecraft instruments very 1504 00:55:45,150 --> 00:55:43,300 accurate measurement virtually 1505 00:55:46,530 --> 00:55:45,160 insensitive to clouds and aerosols as 1506 00:55:48,180 --> 00:55:46,540 long as you can see through the cloud it 1507 00:55:49,950 --> 00:55:48,190 gets a meaningful measurement great 1508 00:55:51,360 --> 00:55:49,960 measurement to make we've got these guys 1509 00:55:55,380 --> 00:55:51,370 going up around the Earth I'll talk 1510 00:55:56,580 --> 00:55:55,390 about them a little bit this is what it 1511 00:55:58,530 --> 00:55:56,590 looks like this is what our coverage 1512 00:56:00,570 --> 00:55:58,540 looks like over the earth after one day 1513 00:56:03,420 --> 00:56:00,580 after three days notice we kind of fill 1514 00:56:04,860 --> 00:56:03,430 things in over time the notice the red 1515 00:56:07,710 --> 00:56:04,870 dots actually show where we get cloud 1516 00:56:09,630 --> 00:56:07,720 free scenes the green those are clouds 1517 00:56:11,790 --> 00:56:09,640 they cover fire the earth these are 1518 00:56:14,130 --> 00:56:11,800 clouds over here this is a cloud map 1519 00:56:16,810 --> 00:56:14,140 that was made by the glass instrument on 1520 00:56:19,090 --> 00:56:16,820 ice at that's what we used 1521 00:56:25,540 --> 00:56:19,100 we had calypso and cloudy I'll have to 1522 00:56:27,220 --> 00:56:25,550 replace that nowadays now I'll talk just 1523 00:56:29,020 --> 00:56:27,230 really briefly about this we tried to 1524 00:56:30,970 --> 00:56:29,030 get ex co2 out of the spectra that we 1525 00:56:32,500 --> 00:56:30,980 collect we take the spectrum using 1526 00:56:34,570 --> 00:56:32,510 remote sensing retrieval algorithm to 1527 00:56:35,800 --> 00:56:34,580 retrieve the ex co2 turns out this is 1528 00:56:38,470 --> 00:56:35,810 one of the bigger challenges in this 1529 00:56:40,630 --> 00:56:38,480 experiment the model actually includes 1530 00:56:43,090 --> 00:56:40,640 several pieces by the way the the 1531 00:56:44,140 --> 00:56:43,100 astrobiology AV 5 o2 gets all of this 1532 00:56:47,050 --> 00:56:44,150 Thursday 1533 00:56:48,730 --> 00:56:47,060 you can sleep for anything now then in 1534 00:56:50,380 --> 00:56:48,740 case no we have a forward model you have 1535 00:56:51,940 --> 00:56:50,390 an inverse method that then basically 1536 00:56:53,470 --> 00:56:51,950 the forward model tells us what the 1537 00:56:54,880 --> 00:56:53,480 radiation field is what we should be 1538 00:56:56,920 --> 00:56:54,890 measuring at the top of the atmosphere 1539 00:56:59,680 --> 00:56:56,930 for any given atmosphere we're looking 1540 00:57:01,540 --> 00:56:59,690 through any specific path the inverse 1541 00:57:03,640 --> 00:57:01,550 method tells us how to correct the input 1542 00:57:05,500 --> 00:57:03,650 atmosphere surface state to get a better 1543 00:57:07,090 --> 00:57:05,510 fit to our spectrum so just think of a 1544 00:57:09,400 --> 00:57:07,100 nonlinear least squares fitting routine 1545 00:57:11,140 --> 00:57:09,410 that's actually just fitting a function 1546 00:57:14,050 --> 00:57:11,150 which is the forward model to an 1547 00:57:16,660 --> 00:57:14,060 atmosphere that function which are 1548 00:57:18,370 --> 00:57:16,670 actually the atmospheric state we just 1549 00:57:20,590 --> 00:57:18,380 do that iteratively we start with an 1550 00:57:22,240 --> 00:57:20,600 initial guess for the distributions and 1551 00:57:24,040 --> 00:57:22,250 then we just basically iterate through 1552 00:57:25,540 --> 00:57:24,050 that system until it converges and we 1553 00:57:29,100 --> 00:57:25,550 get good fit to the spectrum and then we 1554 00:57:31,690 --> 00:57:29,110 have the right co2 and water and oxygen 1555 00:57:35,710 --> 00:57:31,700 surface pressure value and right clouds 1556 00:57:37,270 --> 00:57:35,720 and aerosols this is just a quick look 1557 00:57:38,950 --> 00:57:37,280 at our actual weighting functions I said 1558 00:57:40,630 --> 00:57:38,960 that system was more sensitive most 1559 00:57:42,940 --> 00:57:40,640 sensitive to the co2 near the surface 1560 00:57:44,770 --> 00:57:42,950 this is a glint this is a nadir sounding 1561 00:57:46,480 --> 00:57:44,780 showing the actual weighting functions 1562 00:57:48,520 --> 00:57:46,490 the surface is 20 kilometers altitude 1563 00:57:50,500 --> 00:57:48,530 you can see what our actual sensitivity 1564 00:57:52,300 --> 00:57:50,510 looks like as a function of altitude it 1565 00:57:54,460 --> 00:57:52,310 varies with solar Zenith angle that's 1566 00:57:56,710 --> 00:57:54,470 shown across here these particular cases 1567 00:57:58,960 --> 00:57:56,720 are ocean cases the interesting thing is 1568 00:58:01,600 --> 00:57:58,970 that the actual error we get in X co2 1569 00:58:03,790 --> 00:58:01,610 increases with latitude in the nadir 1570 00:58:05,980 --> 00:58:03,800 case but in the glint case it actually 1571 00:58:08,020 --> 00:58:05,990 decreases with latitude that's another 1572 00:58:09,940 --> 00:58:08,030 little benefit as you go toward the pole 1573 00:58:11,320 --> 00:58:09,950 the glint just gets brighter and 1574 00:58:13,840 --> 00:58:11,330 brighter and brighter and your signal 1575 00:58:15,490 --> 00:58:13,850 noise just goes up and up and up turns 1576 00:58:17,940 --> 00:58:15,500 out that's really fortunate because as 1577 00:58:21,910 --> 00:58:17,950 you go toward the pole it gets cloudy 1578 00:58:23,890 --> 00:58:21,920 and you get fewer and fewer soundings so 1579 00:58:25,360 --> 00:58:23,900 this kind of compensates so in any case 1580 00:58:26,770 --> 00:58:25,370 we get decent measurements the number of 1581 00:58:28,150 --> 00:58:26,780 degrees of freedom tells us whether or 1582 00:58:29,000 --> 00:58:28,160 not we can get a profile we get about 1583 00:58:31,670 --> 00:58:29,010 one degree 1584 00:58:33,290 --> 00:58:31,680 we can measure a column Nader then we 1585 00:58:35,500 --> 00:58:33,300 can measure a column maybe pull the 1586 00:58:39,470 --> 00:58:35,510 battery layer out as well 1587 00:58:41,120 --> 00:58:39,480 TBD prior to flight we're calibrating 1588 00:58:42,710 --> 00:58:41,130 and characterizing the instrument we 1589 00:58:44,150 --> 00:58:42,720 have to do that in a space stimulation 1590 00:58:45,680 --> 00:58:44,160 chamber this is a space simulation 1591 00:58:48,040 --> 00:58:45,690 chamber at JPL it's the one we're 1592 00:58:50,720 --> 00:58:48,050 currently using this is about 10 feet 1593 00:58:53,030 --> 00:58:50,730 top-to-bottom it's called the 10 foot 1594 00:58:55,010 --> 00:58:53,040 chamber it's actually 11 feet in any 1595 00:58:56,750 --> 00:58:55,020 case what we've done but this particular 1596 00:58:58,400 --> 00:58:56,760 chamber is something very unusual we 1597 00:58:59,960 --> 00:58:58,410 installed a window in the top we poked a 1598 00:59:01,790 --> 00:58:59,970 hole in the top of the building we put a 1599 00:59:03,650 --> 00:59:01,800 heliostat a tube mirror heliostat up 1600 00:59:05,000 --> 00:59:03,660 there to capture sunlight and can run it 1601 00:59:07,220 --> 00:59:05,010 into the flight instrument wallets in 1602 00:59:08,690 --> 00:59:07,230 the chamber turned out that was it turns 1603 00:59:10,760 --> 00:59:08,700 out the Sun is an important source for 1604 00:59:12,020 --> 00:59:10,770 us to use in the testing of the 1605 00:59:13,730 --> 00:59:12,030 instrument we were doing this just a 1606 00:59:15,170 --> 00:59:13,740 couple of weeks ago sitting in the 1607 00:59:16,580 --> 00:59:15,180 parking lot across the way from this 1608 00:59:18,170 --> 00:59:16,590 thing we have a ground-based up looking 1609 00:59:19,820 --> 00:59:18,180 for a transform spectrometer that tells 1610 00:59:21,650 --> 00:59:19,830 us what truth is tells us what our 1611 00:59:23,540 --> 00:59:21,660 source actually was while we were making 1612 00:59:25,430 --> 00:59:23,550 that measurement simultaneously there 1613 00:59:27,620 --> 00:59:25,440 they're literally about two buildings 1614 00:59:29,930 --> 00:59:27,630 over we've made these measurements over 1615 00:59:31,460 --> 00:59:29,940 the last couple of weeks we got our 1616 00:59:32,420 --> 00:59:31,470 first light as we were trying to focus 1617 00:59:34,370 --> 00:59:32,430 the different elements in the 1618 00:59:36,140 --> 00:59:34,380 spectrometer the spectrometer doesn't 1619 00:59:37,610 --> 00:59:36,150 even focus in air and the detectors 1620 00:59:40,670 --> 00:59:37,620 certainly don't work so we have to pump 1621 00:59:43,250 --> 00:59:40,680 it down to 10 to the minus 7 Torr and 1622 00:59:46,130 --> 00:59:43,260 say 10 to the minus 7 millibar if you 1623 00:59:47,270 --> 00:59:46,140 will and then take measurements and 1624 00:59:48,920 --> 00:59:47,280 these are the first measurement this is 1625 00:59:50,480 --> 00:59:48,930 the oxygen a van looks just like the 1626 00:59:52,940 --> 00:59:50,490 thing I've been showing you this is the 1627 00:59:56,060 --> 00:59:52,950 weak co2 band the strong co2 band at 1628 00:59:58,640 --> 00:59:56,070 2.06 microns by the way it works for 1629 01:00:01,160 --> 00:59:58,650 Earth scientists as well Viki open the 1630 01:00:02,330 --> 01:00:01,170 open the slit and you get clouds I mean 1631 01:00:04,640 --> 01:00:02,340 this is ridiculous 1632 01:00:06,110 --> 01:00:04,650 right we've waited months for this any 1633 01:00:07,820 --> 01:00:06,120 case this is our ground base left lumens 1634 01:00:10,070 --> 01:00:07,830 Fourier transform spectrometer by 1635 01:00:11,510 --> 01:00:10,080 hard-working colleagues trying to figure 1636 01:00:13,550 --> 01:00:11,520 out what's going on this is my 1637 01:00:15,620 --> 01:00:13,560 instrument manager Randy Pollock I think 1638 01:00:18,680 --> 01:00:15,630 you know Randy in any case looking at 1639 01:00:20,930 --> 01:00:18,690 the very first data we took in his comic 1640 01:00:23,750 --> 01:00:20,940 was Wow oh it's kind of like what we 1641 01:00:24,950 --> 01:00:23,760 expected doesn't it I think my oh and by 1642 01:00:28,580 --> 01:00:24,960 the way that's the Helius dad on the 1643 01:00:29,840 --> 01:00:28,590 roof that's my deputy Jim Miller it's on 1644 01:00:31,640 --> 01:00:29,850 the rest of my team members up there 1645 01:00:35,660 --> 01:00:31,650 trying to make sure it's pumping light 1646 01:00:37,520 --> 01:00:35,670 downward it's supposed to go okay we're 1647 01:00:39,560 --> 01:00:37,530 not finished calibration calibrating 1648 01:00:40,819 --> 01:00:39,570 after launch we have to continue 1649 01:00:42,589 --> 01:00:40,829 calibrating there I won't do 1650 01:00:44,539 --> 01:00:42,599 to this in any detail but we calibrate 1651 01:00:46,670 --> 01:00:44,549 on every single orbit that's what it 1652 01:00:48,559 --> 01:00:46,680 takes to keep this instrument making 1653 01:00:51,079 --> 01:00:48,569 measurements like those with accuracies 1654 01:00:52,969 --> 01:00:51,089 that we need we also have up looking for 1655 01:00:55,009 --> 01:00:52,979 you transform spectrometers we install 1656 01:00:57,769 --> 01:00:55,019 these things these are these are big 1657 01:00:59,839 --> 01:00:57,779 Brooker HR 125 so they're basically the 1658 01:01:01,609 --> 01:00:59,849 same instruments used by the india sea 1659 01:01:03,229 --> 01:01:01,619 teams we put them in a shipping 1660 01:01:05,420 --> 01:01:03,239 container with a dome on top with a 1661 01:01:06,559 --> 01:01:05,430 weather station on top of that we 1662 01:01:08,539 --> 01:01:06,569 actually test them by flying 1663 01:01:08,930 --> 01:01:08,549 strange-looking aircraft as high as we 1664 01:01:10,759 --> 01:01:08,940 can 1665 01:01:12,440 --> 01:01:10,769 balloons above that and we didn't 1666 01:01:16,009 --> 01:01:12,450 measure what we get from the Fourier 1667 01:01:17,329 --> 01:01:16,019 transform and from the aircraft and make 1668 01:01:18,890 --> 01:01:17,339 sure that at least our calibration 1669 01:01:21,319 --> 01:01:18,900 system is calibrated we've already done 1670 01:01:22,549 --> 01:01:21,329 that at a couple of places we're going 1671 01:01:24,079 --> 01:01:22,559 to install those things all over the 1672 01:01:25,880 --> 01:01:24,089 place if you'd like to install one they 1673 01:01:27,620 --> 01:01:25,890 cost about half a million apiece they're 1674 01:01:29,959 --> 01:01:27,630 autonomous they produce lots and lots of 1675 01:01:32,499 --> 01:01:29,969 useful data for things is like co2 and 1676 01:01:35,239 --> 01:01:32,509 about 20 other gases very very useful 1677 01:01:38,449 --> 01:01:35,249 systems these are some of the sites that 1678 01:01:41,569 --> 01:01:38,459 are putting them in now this is kind of 1679 01:01:43,699 --> 01:01:41,579 finishing up here the objective here is 1680 01:01:45,620 --> 01:01:43,709 to make space-based at measurements that 1681 01:01:47,089 --> 01:01:45,630 would really unprecedented accuracy and 1682 01:01:49,099 --> 01:01:47,099 so to do that we put together a 1683 01:01:52,279 --> 01:01:49,109 comprehensive validation system cludes 1684 01:01:54,469 --> 01:01:52,289 the es NOAA es are all flask sites tall 1685 01:01:57,410 --> 01:01:54,479 towers aircraft this is this is once 1686 01:01:59,239 --> 01:01:57,420 again a Proteus aircraft this is the 1687 01:02:00,799 --> 01:01:59,249 Fourier transform spectrometers and then 1688 01:02:02,479 --> 01:02:00,809 we have an ace-in-the-hole it turns out 1689 01:02:04,789 --> 01:02:02,489 while we were developing the spacecraft 1690 01:02:06,469 --> 01:02:04,799 our Japanese colleagues were developing 1691 01:02:08,120 --> 01:02:06,479 another spacecraft called ghosts at 1692 01:02:09,890 --> 01:02:08,130 which is the greenhouse gas observing 1693 01:02:12,499 --> 01:02:09,900 satellite that makes measurements in the 1694 01:02:15,709 --> 01:02:12,509 same co2 bands and in the oxygen band 1695 01:02:17,150 --> 01:02:15,719 that we use it also measures methane it 1696 01:02:18,829 --> 01:02:17,160 uses a completely different measurement 1697 01:02:20,059 --> 01:02:18,839 approach it uses a fourier transform 1698 01:02:21,979 --> 01:02:20,069 spectrometer instead of a grating 1699 01:02:23,239 --> 01:02:21,989 spectrometer its sampling method is 1700 01:02:24,289 --> 01:02:23,249 completely different than ours but 1701 01:02:27,680 --> 01:02:24,299 they're trying to measure the same 1702 01:02:30,140 --> 01:02:27,690 quantity our orbits cost 14 times a day 1703 01:02:31,849 --> 01:02:30,150 we're working as closely as we can with 1704 01:02:33,890 --> 01:02:31,859 them so that we can take advantage of 1705 01:02:36,259 --> 01:02:33,900 those cross car those cross calibration 1706 01:02:38,299 --> 01:02:36,269 opportunities to cross calibrate the 1707 01:02:39,949 --> 01:02:38,309 results from these two satellites their 1708 01:02:41,689 --> 01:02:39,959 satellite is smoke it doesn't it doesn't 1709 01:02:43,849 --> 01:02:41,699 quite isn't intended to have quite as 1710 01:02:46,640 --> 01:02:43,859 high of precision as ours it's primarily 1711 01:02:48,650 --> 01:02:46,650 a source satellite that's what it's 1712 01:02:51,180 --> 01:02:48,660 looking for co2 sources that's because 1713 01:02:53,740 --> 01:02:51,190 they signed Kia 1714 01:02:55,359 --> 01:02:53,750 I've moved my launch date three times 1715 01:02:56,980 --> 01:02:55,369 they've moved their launch date three 1716 01:03:00,849 --> 01:02:56,990 times every time they move their launch 1717 01:03:02,260 --> 01:03:00,859 date is one month before mine so it's a 1718 01:03:05,349 --> 01:03:02,270 lot of fun where there's a little race 1719 01:03:07,859 --> 01:03:05,359 going on between me and and hamazaki the 1720 01:03:09,970 --> 01:03:07,869 project manager of the go stab mission 1721 01:03:12,370 --> 01:03:09,980 to see who gets up there first 1722 01:03:13,660 --> 01:03:12,380 that'll be fun once we're in orbit 1723 01:03:21,789 --> 01:03:13,670 though it's it's hunter percent 1724 01:03:23,890 --> 01:03:21,799 cooperation we launch pretty much within 1725 01:03:25,359 --> 01:03:23,900 the same time we do have different orbit 1726 01:03:26,859 --> 01:03:25,369 tracks they have a three day ground 1727 01:03:29,980 --> 01:03:26,869 repeat cycle they're trying to resolve 1728 01:03:32,710 --> 01:03:29,990 synoptic weather patterns we're not and 1729 01:03:34,210 --> 01:03:32,720 so once again there we will be flying at 1730 01:03:36,549 --> 01:03:34,220 the same time they have a five-year 1731 01:03:38,559 --> 01:03:36,559 nominal life time we can probably do 1732 01:03:40,630 --> 01:03:38,569 five years easily so we're likely to 1733 01:03:41,740 --> 01:03:40,640 cover the same time so once again and 1734 01:03:44,019 --> 01:03:41,750 we're working together like I said just 1735 01:03:46,059 --> 01:03:44,029 as closely as possible I probably have 1736 01:03:47,650 --> 01:03:46,069 three emails on my system today about 1737 01:03:49,720 --> 01:03:47,660 the agreements we're trying to put in 1738 01:03:51,579 --> 01:03:49,730 place with employment agreements when 1739 01:03:52,930 --> 01:03:51,589 we're trying to do here though is to 1740 01:03:54,789 --> 01:03:52,940 extend the network that works really 1741 01:03:56,230 --> 01:03:54,799 well was this last Network that gave us 1742 01:03:59,650 --> 01:03:56,240 those beautiful measurements I started 1743 01:04:01,150 --> 01:03:59,660 the presentation with and the global 1744 01:04:02,349 --> 01:04:01,160 distribution of those flash measurements 1745 01:04:03,940 --> 01:04:02,359 showing over here give us a good 1746 01:04:05,700 --> 01:04:03,950 constraint on the table amount of co2 1747 01:04:07,720 --> 01:04:05,710 were dumping into the system and 1748 01:04:09,370 --> 01:04:07,730 measurements on very small spatial 1749 01:04:11,289 --> 01:04:09,380 scales this shows spatial scale and 1750 01:04:13,620 --> 01:04:11,299 kilometer here noticed a log scale this 1751 01:04:17,130 --> 01:04:13,630 is global scale this is one kilometer 1752 01:04:20,109 --> 01:04:17,140 and then this is zero co2 error 1753 01:04:21,849 --> 01:04:20,119 capabilities right now the sea the flats 1754 01:04:23,529 --> 01:04:21,859 network is very good it's our it's our 1755 01:04:25,450 --> 01:04:23,539 gold standard beyond that we have the 1756 01:04:26,470 --> 01:04:25,460 towers and the aircraft which you make 1757 01:04:28,390 --> 01:04:26,480 measurements over so it's slightly 1758 01:04:30,190 --> 01:04:28,400 larger fetches but once again these only 1759 01:04:32,049 --> 01:04:30,200 are flowing intermittently we have 1760 01:04:34,180 --> 01:04:32,059 almost nothing covering regional scales 1761 01:04:36,069 --> 01:04:34,190 right now and we hope that ocl will be 1762 01:04:37,720 --> 01:04:36,079 able to provide measurements of xeo 2 1763 01:04:39,819 --> 01:04:37,730 where the precision needed to 1764 01:04:41,620 --> 01:04:39,829 characterize sources and sinks over this 1765 01:04:43,359 --> 01:04:41,630 range of scales we have a number of 1766 01:04:44,589 --> 01:04:43,369 satellite up there satellites up there 1767 01:04:46,660 --> 01:04:44,599 right now that have been making 1768 01:04:48,220 --> 01:04:46,670 measurements and co2 bans primarily for 1769 01:04:49,539 --> 01:04:48,230 temperature measurements and as I 1770 01:04:51,190 --> 01:04:49,549 pointed out they do make a co2 1771 01:04:52,960 --> 01:04:51,200 measurement but it doesn't have the 1772 01:04:54,579 --> 01:04:52,970 precision needed to look for sources and 1773 01:04:56,650 --> 01:04:54,589 sinks at the surface it's not the point 1774 01:04:58,480 --> 01:04:56,660 measurements like those made by the airs 1775 01:04:59,920 --> 01:04:58,490 instrument on aqua are actually 1776 01:05:02,980 --> 01:04:59,930 revolutionary though because they're 1777 01:05:05,080 --> 01:05:02,990 providing essentially a record of co2 1778 01:05:07,330 --> 01:05:05,090 middle troposphere that is very similar 1779 01:05:09,430 --> 01:05:07,340 to the co2 record that we have a the 1780 01:05:12,100 --> 01:05:09,440 ground from CMD L a nice global product 1781 01:05:13,000 --> 01:05:12,110 to something we've never had anyone so 1782 01:05:14,650 --> 01:05:13,010 let's see and that's a very valuable 1783 01:05:16,270 --> 01:05:14,660 product but it doesn't get to the answer 1784 01:05:18,550 --> 01:05:16,280 the two satellites I will be doing that 1785 01:05:33,930 --> 01:05:18,560 for you our go sad and Oh Co so that 1786 01:05:56,470 --> 01:05:54,730 yes yes that's absolutely true what we 1787 01:05:59,740 --> 01:05:56,480 see in regions where the strong 1788 01:06:02,530 --> 01:05:59,750 productivity is a diurnal cycle in co2 1789 01:06:03,970 --> 01:06:02,540 that's as large as that does the kind of 1790 01:06:06,430 --> 01:06:03,980 gradients that we were seeing earlier 1791 01:06:08,740 --> 01:06:06,440 and what we see is in the morning we 1792 01:06:11,230 --> 01:06:08,750 have the highest co2 and in the evening 1793 01:06:13,900 --> 01:06:11,240 we have the lowest co2 we picked midday 1794 01:06:16,030 --> 01:06:13,910 in part because it's near the middle of 1795 01:06:17,800 --> 01:06:16,040 the cycle we couldn't measure all times 1796 01:06:21,010 --> 01:06:17,810 of day with one satellite that's just 1797 01:06:22,930 --> 01:06:21,020 impossible to do so my choice was either 1798 01:06:24,250 --> 01:06:22,940 just try to change look at different 1799 01:06:26,440 --> 01:06:24,260 parts of the earth at different times a 1800 01:06:28,420 --> 01:06:26,450 day that's not good never know what I'm 1801 01:06:30,370 --> 01:06:28,430 measuring or one way of getting around 1802 01:06:32,770 --> 01:06:30,380 that is to measure always exactly at the 1803 01:06:34,360 --> 01:06:32,780 same time of day okay so once again that 1804 01:06:36,700 --> 01:06:34,370 was the compromise we struck with our 1805 01:06:38,140 --> 01:06:36,710 satellite the real great advantage of 1806 01:06:40,060 --> 01:06:38,150 having ghosts at up there at the same 1807 01:06:42,070 --> 01:06:40,070 time as us is catching different times a 1808 01:06:43,390 --> 01:06:42,080 day not really so much different times a 1809 01:06:45,040 --> 01:06:43,400 day but actually different parts of the 1810 01:06:48,940 --> 01:06:45,050 earth at the same time so we'll start be 1811 01:06:50,410 --> 01:06:48,950 able to measure these things when 1812 01:06:52,900 --> 01:06:50,420 Keeling began in nineteen and fifty 1813 01:06:54,670 --> 01:06:52,910 seven or eight and one Aloha I'm sure he 1814 01:06:58,780 --> 01:06:54,680 knew that these missions would go on 1815 01:07:00,490 --> 01:06:58,790 forever after his death not in 1957 I 1816 01:07:02,620 --> 01:07:00,500 think he I think probably all the way to 1817 01:07:04,900 --> 01:07:02,630 the 60s this was a struggle where he 1818 01:07:07,340 --> 01:07:04,910 never never knew where the next dollar 1819 01:07:09,350 --> 01:07:07,350 was coming from 1820 01:07:11,360 --> 01:07:09,360 with this new generation of satellites 1821 01:07:13,430 --> 01:07:11,370 do you envision that we will always need 1822 01:07:14,870 --> 01:07:13,440 Mon Lo and the flats Network or will we 1823 01:07:16,250 --> 01:07:14,880 have continuous measurement from space 1824 01:07:19,310 --> 01:07:16,260 that we won't need the ground truth 1825 01:07:21,110 --> 01:07:19,320 III tell my friends at es RL that we 1826 01:07:22,580 --> 01:07:21,120 need them forever in fact they make a 1827 01:07:24,620 --> 01:07:22,590 measurement we can't make they make a 1828 01:07:25,700 --> 01:07:24,630 measurement in the boundary layer they 1829 01:07:27,200 --> 01:07:25,710 make a measurement that's far more 1830 01:07:28,790 --> 01:07:27,210 comprehensive than ours because they 1831 01:07:30,410 --> 01:07:28,800 don't just measure co2 they measure a 1832 01:07:33,320 --> 01:07:30,420 whole host of different trace species 1833 01:07:34,370 --> 01:07:33,330 that you can correlate to understand and 1834 01:07:36,800 --> 01:07:34,380 actually figure out where this stuff 1835 01:07:39,230 --> 01:07:36,810 comes from what we can provide to them 1836 01:07:42,200 --> 01:07:39,240 is spatial context what they provide for 1837 01:07:44,720 --> 01:07:42,210 us is ground truth and a very detailed 1838 01:07:52,180 --> 01:07:44,730 description of a local area I think 1839 01:07:59,870 --> 01:07:55,640 further questions I have one yes that is 1840 01:08:02,120 --> 01:07:59,880 a yearly cycle in oxygen concentration 1841 01:08:04,999 --> 01:08:02,130 as well and various sources and sinks of 1842 01:08:07,400 --> 01:08:05,009 that so is that really a good gas to be 1843 01:08:09,199 --> 01:08:07,410 race yelling again to get your exit 1844 01:08:11,959 --> 01:08:09,209 which would you be using I think you 1845 01:08:15,620 --> 01:08:11,969 know the end zone twenty point nine nine 1846 01:08:17,599 --> 01:08:15,630 five two though that many digits it's 1847 01:08:19,700 --> 01:08:17,609 constant there is an annual cycle can be 1848 01:08:21,320 --> 01:08:19,710 measured actually Ralph Keeling spends 1849 01:08:23,379 --> 01:08:21,330 his whole life not just bettering that 1850 01:08:25,970 --> 01:08:23,389 but also all of the isotopes of oxygen 1851 01:08:28,970 --> 01:08:25,980 and in order to understand what the 1852 01:08:32,390 --> 01:08:28,980 breakdown is between biological and say 1853 01:08:35,329 --> 01:08:32,400 industrial sources of co2 for example 1854 01:08:36,800 --> 01:08:35,339 but in any case it's a very tiny piece 1855 01:08:39,620 --> 01:08:36,810 it's it's bill of well below our